Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Morehead State

The Cardinals open up the 2024-25 season by hosting the Eagles at the KFC Yum! Center.

Louisville Cardinals guard Terrence Edwards Jr. (5) drives to the basket as Spalding University's Xavier Burton (20) guards during an exhibition game at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky Monday, Oct. 28, 2024. / Matt Stone/Courier Journal/USA Today Network / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (0-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to tipoff the 2024-25 men's college basketball season, and face Morehead State (0-0, 0-0 OVC) on Monday, Nov. 4 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Eagles:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	MSU	UofL
AP/USAT	NR/NR	RV/NR
SOS	N/A	N/A
SOR	N/A	N/A
NET	N/A	N/A
RPI	N/A	N/A
BPI	173rd	80th
KenPom	254th	64th
Torvik	243rd	62nd
EvanMiya	256th	43rd

Team Leaders (2023-24)

	MSU	UofL
Points	Riley Minix (20.9)*	Skyy Clark (13.2)*
Rebounds	Riley Minix (9.7)*	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.4)*
Assists	Drew Thelwell (6.2)*	Ty-Laur Johnson (3.6)*
Steals	Riley Minix (1.3)*	Ty-Laur Johnson (1.4)*
Blocks	Eddie Ricks III (1.1)*	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8)*

*non-returners

Scoring (2023-24)

	MSU	UofL
Points Per Game	75.3	72.0
Field Goal %	46.7%	43.6%
FGM/FGA Per Game	27.0/57.7	25.0/57.3
Three Point %	36.1%	30.6%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	9.4/26.1	5.5/17.8
Free Throw %	70.6%	74.6%
FTM/FTA Per Game	11.9/16.9	16.6/22.3

Rebounding (2023-24)

	MSU	UofL
Rebounds Per Game	39.2	34.4
Off. Reb. Per Game	11.6	9.9
Def. Reb. Per Game	27.6	24.4
Rebound Margin	8.5	-0.3

Defense (2023-24)

	MSU	UofL
Opp. Points Per Game	63.4	79.1
Opp. FG%	39.3%	47.3%
Opp 3PT%	30.2%	37.2%
Steals Per Game	5.9	5.4
Blocks Per Game	4.6	2.6
Turnovers Forced Per Game	10.5	11.4

Ball Handling (2023-24)

	MSU	UofL
Assists Per Game	15.0	11.1
Turnovers Per Game	11.8	12.8
Turnover Margin	-1.3	-1.4
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.3	0.9

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has an ... percent chance to win against Morehead State. Louisville has a BPI rating of 8.1 (80th overall), whereas Morehead State has a BPI rating of -1.0 (173rd overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 94 percent chance to take down the Eagles, with a projected final score of 80-63 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +12.38 (64th overall), whereas Morehead State has an adjusted efficiency margin of -6.95 (254th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 94 percent chance to take down the Eagles, with a projected final score of 83-66 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .8028 (62nd overall), whereas Morehead State has a "Barthag" of .3348 (243rd overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 88, Morehead State 61.

(Photo of Terrence Edwards Jr.: Matt Stone - Courier Journal/USA Today Network)

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