Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. UTEP

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Miners for their Wednesday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Louie The Cardinal wears glasses to honor head coach Pat Kelsey during their game against Duke at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. on Dec. 8, 2024. / Sam Upshaw Jr./Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (5-4, 0-1 ACC) is set to face UTEP (6-2, 0-0 C-USA) on Wednesday, Dec. 11 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Miners:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	UTEP	Louisville
AP/USAT	NR/NR	NR/NR
SOS	303rd	11th
SOR	109th	74th
NET	135th	62nd
RPI	176th	52nd
BPI	168th	60th
KenPom	150th	57th
Torvik	117th	49th
EvanMiya	126th	50th

Team Leaders

	UTEP	Louisville
Points	Otis Frazier III (13.6)	Chucky Hepburn (14.3)
Rebounds	Two Tied (4.3)	J'Vonne Hadley (7.6)
Assists	Otis Frazier III (3.5)	Chucky Hepburn (4.6)
Steals	Corey Camper Jr. (2.9)	Chucky Hepburn (3.2)
Blocks	Otis Frazier III (1.0)	James Scott (1.1)

Scoring

	UTEP	Louisville
Points Per Game	75.8	76.0
Field Goal %	46.7%	42.8%
FGM/FGA Per Game	26.0/55.6	25.8/60.2
Three Point %	39.7%	28.2%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	7.8/19.5	8.9/31.6
Free Throw %	74.0%	70.7%
FTM/FTA Per Game	16.0/21.6	15.6/22.0

Rebounding

	UTEP	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	29.1	38.7
Off. Reb. Per Game	8.6	13.1
Def. Reb. Per Game	20.5	25.6
Rebound Margin	-5.1	4.0

Defense

	UTEP	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	65.4	68.1
Opp. FG%	42.9%	42.2%
Opp. 3PT%	35.1%	32.9%
Steals Per Game	12.1	8.0
Blocks Per Game	4.0	3.4
Turnovers Forced Per Game	20.3	15.6

Ball Handling

	UTEP	Louisville
Assists Per Game	14.6	13.6
Turnovers Per Game	12.6	13.3
Turnover Margin	7.6	2.2
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.2	1.0

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 90.8 percent chance to win against UTEP. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 9.8 (60th overall), whereas the Miners have a BPI rating of -0.6 (168th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have an 88 percent chance to take down the Miners, with a projected final score of 77-65 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +14.13 (57th overall), whereas UTEP has an adjusted efficiency margin of +0.97 (150th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have an 83 percent chance to take down the Miners, with a projected final score of 77-67 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .8224 (49th overall), whereas UTEP has a "Barthag" of .6261 (117th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 80, UTEP 62.

(Photo of Louie: Sam Upshaw Jr. - Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

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