Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Pitt

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers for their Saturday rematch, and who the statistical models favor:

Feb 12, 2025; Raleigh, North Carolina, USA; Louisville Cardinals huddle during the second half of the game against the North Carolina State Wolfpack at Lenovo Center. / Jaylynn Nash-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (22-6, 15-2 ACC) is set to face Pitt (16-12, 7-10 ACC) on Saturday, Mar. 1 at 6:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Pitt	Louisville
AP/USAT	NR/NR	19th/17th
SOS	45th	30th
SOR	70th	14th
BPI	49th	31st
NET	58th	27th
RPI	87th	20th
KenPom	57th	25th
Torvik	78th	21st
EvanMiya	60th	25th

Team Leaders

	Pitt	Louisville
Points	Jaland Lowe (16.7)	Chucky Hepburn (15.6)
Rebounds	Ish Leggett (5.8)	J'Vonne Hadley (7.4)
Assists	Jaland Lowe (5.3)	Chucky Hepburn (6.0)
Steals	Lowe/Leggett (1.8)	Chucky Hepburn (2.7)
Blocks	Zack Austin 91.7)	James Scott (1.1)

Scoring

	Pitt	Louisville
Points Per Game	76.8	79.5
Field Goal %	45.6%	45.2%
FGM/FGA Per Game	26.4/57.8	27.3/60.3
Three Point %	35.3%	32.7%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.3/23.6	9.7/29.8
Free Throw %	78.4%	74.7%
FTM/FTA Per Game	15.7/20.0	15.3/20.5

Rebounding

	Pitt	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	33.3	37.5
Off. Reb. Per Game	9.6	11.5
Def. Reb. Per Game	23.6	26.0
Rebound Margin	-0.8	4.6

Defense

	Pitt	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	71.3	69.3
Opp. FG%	43.9%	43.6%
Opp. 3PT%	35.1%	34.2%
Steals Per Game	7.3	6.7
Blocks Per Game	4.5	2.9
Turnovers Forced Per Game	12.3	13.4

Ball Handling

	Pitt	Louisville
Assists Per Game	13.5	14.4
Turnovers Per Game	9.8	11.3
Turnover Margin	2.5	2.1
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.4	1.3

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 73.2 percent chance to win against Pitt. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 13.7 (31st overall), whereas the Panthers have a BPI rating of 49th (10.9 overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 79 percent chance to take down the Panthers, with a projected final score of 80-71 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +22.48 (25th overall), whereas Panthers has an adjusted efficiency margin of +14.21 (57th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have an 88 percent chance to take down the Panthers, with a projected final score of 82-69 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9254 (21st overall), whereas Pitt has a "Barthag" of .7474 (78th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 78, Pitt 73.

(Photo of Louisville Players: Jaylynn Nash - Imagn Images)

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