Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Winthrop

The Cardinals take on Pat Kelsey's former team in the Eagles.

Nov 19, 2024; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Bellarmine Knights guard Tyler Doyle (2) looks to pass under the pressure of Louisville Cardinals guard Chucky Hepburn (24) during the second half at KFC Yum! Center. Louisville defeated Bellarmine 100-68. / Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Winthrop (4-2, 0-0 Big South) on Friday, Nov. 22 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Eagles:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Winthrop	Louisville
AP/USAT	NR/NR	NR/NR
SOS	294th	180th
SOR	217th	130th
NET	181st	216th
RPI	217th	275h
BPI	176th	62nd
KenPom	179th	64th
Torvik	187th	61st
EvanMiya	159th	45th

Team Leaders

	Winthrop	Louisville
Points	Kasen Harrison (16.3)	Kasean Pryor (15.0)
Rebounds	Kelton Talford (7.2)	Kasean Pryor (7.0)
Assists	Kasen Harrison (3.5)	Chucky Hepburn (4.3)
Steals	Two Tied (1.5)	Chucky Hepburn (3.3)
Blocks	Tai Hamilton (1.2)	Two Tied (1.0)

Scoring

	Winthrop	Louisville
Points Per Game	84.8	82.7
Field Goal %	45.3%	42.6%
FGM/FGA Per Game	28.0/61.8	27.7/65.0
Three Point %	27.5%	30.0%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	7.3/26.7	11.0/36.7
Free Throw %	68.3%	75.4%
FTM/FTA Per Game	21.5/31.5	16.3/21.7

Rebounding

	Winthrop	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	43.3	37.3
Off. Reb. Per Game	15.3	12.3
Def. Reb. Per Game	28.0	25.0
Rebound Margin	9.2	1.3

Defense

	Winthrop	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	73.2	63.3
Opp. FG%	39.4%	41.8%
Opp. 3PT%	36.0%	33.8%
Steals Per Game	9.3	10.3
Blocks Per Game	3.5	4.0
Turnovers Forced Per Game	17.0	19.0

Ball Handling

	Winthrop	Louisville
Assists Per Game	11.2	15.7
Turnovers Per Game	14.7	9.7
Turnover Margin	2.3	9.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio	0.8	1.6

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 91.3 percent chance to win against Winthrop. Louisville has a BPI rating of 9.3 (62nd overall), whereas Winthrop has a BPI rating of -1.3 (176th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 90 percent chance to take down the Eagles, with a projected final score of 83-69 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +12.21 (64th overall), whereas Winthrop has an adjusted efficiency margin of -1.51 (179th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 90 percent chance to take down the Eagles, with a projected final score of 88-71 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .8017 (61st overall), whereas Winthrop has a "Barthag" of .4441 (187th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 90, Winthrop 67.

(Photo of Chucky Hepburn, Tyler Doyle: Jamie Rhodes - Imagn Images

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