Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. North Carolina

See how the Cardinals stack up against the Tar Heels, and who the statistical models favor.

(Photo of Garrison Brooks, Malik Williams: Jeremy Brevard/USA TODAY Sports)

CHAPEL HILL, N.C. - Louisville (11-4, 6-3 ACC) is set to face North Carolina (13-7, 7-5 ACC) on Saturday, Feb. 20th at 6:00 p.m. EST at the Dean Smith Center in Chapel Hill, N.C. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Tar Heels:

- Rankings:

	North Carolina	Louisville
AP/Coaches	RV/NR	RV/RV
NET	51st	33rd
RPI	36th	26th
SOS	55th	37th
KenPom	42nd	33rd
Sagarin	31st	24th

- Team Leaders:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Points	Armando Bacot (11.8)	Carlik Jones (17.4)
Rebounds	Day'Ron Sharpe (7.8)	Jae'Lyn Withers (7.6)
Assists	Caleb Love (3.6)	Carlik Jones (4.9)
Steals	Leaky Black (1.3)	Carlik Jones (1.4)
Blocks	Garrison Brooks (0.9)	JJ Traynor (0.7)

- Scoring:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Points Per Game	73.2	69.5
Field Goal %	43.5%	45.2%
FGM/FGA Per Game	27.0/62.0	25.0/55.3
Three Point %	31.0%	31.9%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	5.2/16.8	5.5/17.3
Free Throw %	66.0%	72.3%
FTM/FTA Per Game	14.1/21.3	13.9/19.3

- Rebounding:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	42.7	38.3
Off. Reb. Per Game	15.0	10.3
Def. Reb Per Game	27.7	28.1
Rebound Margin	+10.9	+6.1

- Defense:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	69.5	64.2
Opp. FG%	42.7%	40.1%
Opp. 3PT%	36.5%	30.9%
Steals Per Game	6.9	4.9
Turnovers Forced Per Game	13.3	11.7
Blocks Per Game	3.9	2.1

- Ball Handling:

	North Carolina	Louisville
Assists Per Game	15.2	11.5
Turnovers Per Game	14.4	12.0
Turnover Margin	-1.1	-0.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.1	1.0

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 37.3% chance to win against North Carolina.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 45% chance to take down the Tar Heels, with a projected final score of 69-68 in favor of North Carolina. By current metrics, Louisville is expected to drop four of their final five games of the regular season.

- Personal Prediction: North Carolina 70, Louisville 65.

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