Tale of the Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Florida State

The Cardinals return home for the first time in over a month to face the Seminoles.

Louisville (1-4, 0-4 ACC) returns home to face Florida State (2-3, 1-3 ACC) on Saturday, Oct. 24 at 12:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Seminoles:

- Rankings:

	Florida State	Louisville
Associated Press Top 25	NR	NR
USA TODAY Coaches Poll	NR	NR
SOS	12th	23rd
SP+	64th	45th
FPI	68th	50th

- Offensive Statistics:

	Florida State	Louisville
Total Offense	45th (401.0)	52nd (386.0)
Passing Yards	49th (217.6)	44th (224.6)
Yards Per Completion	42nd (12.09)	37th (12.48)
Rushing Yards	30th (183.4)	43rd (161.4)
First Downs Gained	15th (109)	28th (99)
3rd Down Con. %	55th (38.4%)	52nd (38.8%)
4th Down Con. %	26th (63.6%)	28th (61.5%)
Red Zone Con. %	54th (78.9%)	15th (93.8%)
Turnovers Lost	64th (9)	72nd (11)
Interceptions Thrown	71st (7)	59th (5)
Fumbles Lost	25th (2)	74th (6)
Tackles For Loss Allowed	49th (7.00)	75th (9.60)
Sacks Allowed	65th (3.20)	60th (2.80)
Avg. Time of Possession	37th (30:20)	29th (31:08)

Key: National Rank out of 77 Active FBS Teams (Value).

- Defensive Statistics:

	Florida State	Louisville
Total Defense	66th (474.8)	32nd (379.4)
Passing Yards Allowed	59th (282.6)	24th (207.6)
Rushing Yards Allowed	59th (192.2)	49th (171.8)
3rd Down Defensive %	43rd (42.6%)	60th (46.5%)
4th Down Defensive %	16th (40.0%)	19th (42.9%)
First Downs Allowed	71st (128)	48th (94)
Red Zone Defensive %	28th (81.0%)	23rd (80.0%)
Turnovers Gained	28th (7)	60th (3)
Interceptions Caught	28th (4)	65th (1)
Fumbles Recovered	20th (3)	37th (2)
Sacks Per Game	59th (1.40)	38th (2.4)
TFL Per Game	59th (5.0)	24th (7.2)
Defensive Touchdowns	11th (1)	N/A

Key: National Rank out of 77 Active FBS Teams (Value).

- Special Teams Statistics:

	Florida State	Louisville
Net Punting	16th (41.29)	64th (35.05)
Avg. Kickoff Return	25th (22.58)	46th (19.36)
Avg. Punt Return	43rd (7.00)	26th (10.00)
Blocked Kicks	1st (3)	13th (1)
Blocked Kicks Allowed	1st (0)	44th (1)
Blocked Punts	2nd (2)	N/A
Blocked Punts Allowed	1st (0)	62nd (1)
Field Goal Percentage	6-10	4-5
PAT Percentage	13-14	15-15

Key: National Rank out of 77 Active FBS Teams (Value).

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 68.9% chance to win against Florida State. Louisville has an FPI rank of 4.3 (50th overall) and Florida State's FPI of -0.2 is the second-lowest out of the Cardinals' remaining 2020 opponents (Syracuse: -9.0).

- SP+ Prediction:

Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 64.45% chance to take down the Seminoles. According to SP+ ratings, Louisville is favored in four of the remaining six games of the season.

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 31, Florida State 28.

(Photo of Dorian Etheridge: Jamie Rhodes/USA TODAY Sports)

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