Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Boston College

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Eagles for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor.

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (3-3, 1-2 ACC) is set to face Boston College (4-2, 0-2 ACC) on Saturday, Oct. 23 at 4:00 p.m. EST at Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Eagles:

- Rankings:

	Boston College	Louisville
Associated Press Top 25	NR	NR
USA Today Coaches Poll	NR	NR
SOS	99th	33rd
SP+	43rd	53rd
FPI	58th	55th

- Offensive Statistics:

	Boston College	Louisville
Total Offense	72nd (388.8)	25th (452.0)
Scoring Offense	51st (30.8)	39th (32.3)
Passing Yards	84th (218.0)	29th (272.7)
Yards Per Completion	55th (12.58)	39th (13.19)
Rushing Yards	55th (170.8)	47th (179.3)
First Downs Gained	95th (122)	76th (130)
3rd Down Con. %	16th (47.5%)	91st (36.4%)
4th Down Con. %	69th (50.0%)	50th (58.3)
Red Zone Con. %	47th (87.5%)	10th (95.5%)
Turnovers Lost	68th (9)	40th (7)
Interceptions Thrown	57th (5)	9th (2)
Fumbles Lost	73rd (4)	103rd (5)
Tackles For Loss Allowed	64th (5.17)	29th (4.17)
Sacks Allowed	49th (1.83)	20th (1.33)
Avg. Time of Possession	69th (29:29)	17th (32:15)

Key: National Rank out of 130 FBS Teams (Value)

- Defensive Statistics:

	Boston College	Louisville
Total Defense	35th (329.8)	115th (449.3)
Scoring Defense	28th (19.5)	90th (29.2)
Passing Yards Allowed	38th (203.3)	124th (298.8)
Rushing Yards Allowed	41st (126.5)	71st (150.5)
3rd Down Defensive %	10th (29.6%)	59th (37.2%)
4th Down Defensive %	72nd (54.5%)	93rd (63.6%
First Downs Allowed	17th (101)	86th (142)
Red Zone Defensive %	58th (81.2%)	126th (96.0%)
Turnovers Gained	96th (7)	77th (8)
Interceptions Caught	44th (6)	31st (7)
Fumbles Recovered	118th (1)	118th (1)
Sacks Per Game	115th (1.33)	19th (3.00)
TFL Per Game	124th (3.7)	24th (6.8)

Key: National Rank out of 130 FBS Teams (Value)

- Special Teams Statistics:

	Boston College	Louisville
Net Punting	19th (42.62)	51st (40.76)
Avg. Kickoff Return	1st (61.0)	52nd (21.75)
Avg. Kickoff Return Def.	40th (18.64)	51st (19.38)
Avg. Punt Return	117th (3.36)	18th (13.60)
Avg. Punt Ret. Defense	55th (6.14)	53rd (5.88)
Field Goal Attempts	6-7	9-12
PAT	23-24	23-24

Key: National Rank out of 130 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 64.6 percent chance to win against the Eagles. Louisville has an FPI of 3.1 (55th overall), whereas Boston College has a rating of 2.7 (58th overall).

- SP+ Prediction:

Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 51.88 percent chance to take down the Eagles. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 6.7 (53rd overall), whereas Boston College has a rating of 8.4 (43rd overall). Following the loss to Virginia, Louisville is favored in three of their six remaining games on the schedule (BC, Syracuse, Duke).

Weekly Expected Wins Mark:

• Preseason: 6.97
• Post-Week 1: 4.63
• Post-Week 2: 5.71
• Post-Week 3: 6.49
• Post-Week 4: 6.14
• Post-Week 5: 6.19
• Post-Week 6: 5.47
• Post-Week 7: 5.74

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 35, Boston College 31.

(Photo of Hassan Hall: Winslow Townson - USA TODAY Sports)

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