Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Clemson

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (6-3, 3-3 ACC) is set to face Clemson (8-1, 6-0 ACC) on Saturday, Nov. 12 at 3:30 p.m. EST at Memorial Stadium in Clemson, S.C. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers:

- Rankings:

	Clemson	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	12th/12th	RV/RV
SOS	36th	65th
SP+	18th	32nd
FPI	8th	23rd
Sagarin	15th	22nd

- Offensive Statistics:

	Clemson	Louisville
Total Offense	63rd (405.9)	45th (423.0)
Scoring Offense	31st (34.6)	56th (30.2)
Passing Yards	73rd (231.1)	86th (221.3)
Yards Per Completion	101st (11.12)	40th (13.02)
Rushing Yards	49th (174.8)	25th (201.7)
First Downs Gained	55th (200)	67th (190)
3rd Down Con. %	18th (47.4%)	75th (38.8%)
4th Down Con. %	6th (75.0%)	123rd (31.8%)
Red Zone Con. %	5th (95.2%)	77th (82.9%)
Turnovers Lost	34th (11)	71st (14)
Interceptions Thrown	40th (6)	40th (6)
Fumbles Lost	41st (5)	97th (8)
Tackles For Loss Allowed	41st (4.89)	65th (5.44)
Sacks Allowed	63rd (2.00)	54th (1.89)
Avg. Time of Possession	40th (30:57)	58th (30:13)

Key: National Rank out of 131 FBS Teams (Value)

- Defensive Statistics:

	Clemson	Louisville
Total Defense	28th (334.2)	31st (343.2)
Scoring Defense	33rd (21.6)	20th (19.4)
Passing Yards Allowed	66th (226.9)	37th (209.4)
Rushing Yards Allowed	14th (107.3)	47th (133.8)
First Downs Allowed	51st (176)	33rd (165)
3rd Down Defensive %	57th (37.2%)	37th (34.7%)
4th Down Defensive %	13th (31.2%)	2nd (18.8%)
Red Zone Defensive %	78th (85.2%)	5th (66.7%)
Turnovers Gained	80th (12)	1st (24)
Interceptions Caught	62nd (7)	3rd (14)
Fumbles Recovered	63rd (5)	10th (10)
Sacks Per Game	32nd (2.56)	1st (3.78)
TFL Per Game	8th (7.8)	11th (7.4)

Key: National Rank out of 131 FBS Teams (Value)

- Special Teams Statistics:

	Clemson	Louisville
Net Punting	113th (36.41)	34th (40.23)
Avg. Kickoff Return	14th (23.00)	74th (19.75)
Avg. Kickoff Return Def.	21st (17.12)	18th (16.88)
Avg. Punt Return	100th (5.40)	127th (3.26)
Avg. Punt Return Def.	101st (9.94)	39th (5.71)
Field Goal Attempts	15-17	14-16
PAT	33-33	32-33

Key: National Rank out of 131 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 23.8 percent chance to win against the Tigers. Louisville has an FPI rating of 10.2 (23rd overall), whereas Clemson has an FPI rating of 17.0 (8th overall).

- SP+ Prediction:

Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 32.32 percent chance to take down the Tigers. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 9.4 (32nd overall), whereas Clemson has an SP+ rating of 14.7 (18th overall).

Weekly Expected Wins Mark:

• Preseason: 6.57
• Post-Week 1: 4.74
• Post-Week 2: 5.70
• Post-Week 3: 5.08
• Post-Week 4: 5.71
• Post-Week 5: 4.65
• Post-Week 6: 5.03
• Post-Week 7: 5.17
• Post-Week 8: 5.77
• Post-Week 9: 6.64
• Post-Week 10: 7.28

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 27, Clemson 24.

(Photo via Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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