Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Georgia Tech

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Yellow Jackets for their Friday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (0-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Georgia Tech (0-0, 0-0 ACC) on Friday, Sept. 1 at 7:30 p.m. EST at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga. for the Aflac Kickoff Classic. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Yellow Jackets:

- Rankings:

	Georgia Tech	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	RV/NR
SOS	N/A	N/A
SP+	75th	40th
FPI	66th	43rd
Sagarin	89th	42nd

- Offensive Statistics (2022):

	Georgia Tech	Louisville
Total Offense	114th (324.8)	48th (406.2)
Scoring Offense	124th (17.2)	73rd (26.9)
Passing Yards	108th (192.2)	98th (205.5)
Yards Per Completion	114th (10.53)	59th (12.26)
Rushing Yards	90th (132.7)	23rd (200.6)
First Downs Gained	110th (212)	67th (264)
3rd Down Con. %	121st (30.6%)	80th (37.9%)
4th Down Con. %	120th (33.3%)	106th (40.0%)
Red Zone Con. %	126th (71.1%)	70th (83.0%)
Turnovers Lost	17th (13)	116th (24)
Interceptions Thrown	48th (9)	84th (12)
Fumbles Lost	9th (4)	110th (12)
Tackles For Loss Allowed	126th (8.25)	74th (5.77)
Sacks Allowed	116th (3.25)	64th (2.08)
Avg. Time of Possession	102nd (28:27)	61st (30:04)

Key: National Rank out of 131 FBS Teams (Value)

- Defensive Statistics (2022):

	Georgia Tech	Louisville
Total Defense	84th (401.0)	23rd (330.2)
Scoring Defense	83rd (28.4)	11th (19.2)
Passing Yards Allowed	46th (212.4)	22nd (197.0)
Rushing Yards Allowed	107th (188.6)	37th (133.2)
First Downs Allowed	85th (274)	36th (238)
3rd Down Defensive %	121st (30.6%)	80th (37.9%)
4th Down Defensive %	120th (33.3%)	106th (40.0%)
Red Zone Defensive %	40th (80.4%)	11th (74.4%)
Turnovers Gained	14th (24)	3rd (30)
Interceptions Caught	51st (11)	14th (15)
Fumbles Recovered	7th (13)	2nd (15)
Sacks Per Game	48th (2.33)	1st (3.85)
TFL Per Game	49th (6.2)	7th (7.5)

Key: National Rank out of 131 FBS Teams (Value)

- Special Teams Statistics:

	Georgia Tech	Louisville
Net Punting	130th (30.73)	30th (40.15)
Avg. Kickoff Return	48th (21.00)	6th (24.73)
Avg. Kickoff Return Def.	63rd (20.10)	(36th (18.15)
Avg. Punt Return	39th (9.33)	102nd (5.04)
Avg. Punt Return Def.	129th (18.54)	34th (5.52)
Field Goal Attempts	14-19	20-22
PAT	20-21	38-39

Key: National Rank out of 131 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 68.1 percent chance to win against the Yellow Jackets. Louisville has an FPI rating of 6.8 (43rd overall), whereas Georgia Tech has an FPI rating of -0.6 (66th overall).

- SP+ Prediction: Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 80.96 percent chance to take down the Yellow Jackets. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 9.5 (40th overall), whereas Georgia Tech has an SP+ rating of -5.4 (75th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 38, Georgia Tech 17.

(Photo of Trey Franklin: Jared Anderson - Louisville Report)

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