Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Miami

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Hurricanes for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (9-1, 6-1 ACC) is set to face Miami (4-4, 3-1 ACC) on Saturday, Nov. 18 at 12:00 p.m. EST at Hard Rock Stadium in Coral Cables, Fla. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Hurricanes:

- Rankings:

	Miami	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY/CFP	NR/NR/NR	9th/9th/9th
SOS	33rd	99th
SP+	26th	21st
FPI	25th	23rd
Sagarin	37th	22nd

- Offensive Statistics:

	Miami	Louisville
Total Offense	37th (427.6)	29th (439.0)
Yards Per Play	32nd (6.36)	15th (6.71)
Scoring Offense	43rd (30.9)	31st (32.7)
Passing Yards	45th (255.6)	48th (251.1)
Yards Per Completion	77th (11.83)	23rd (13.72)
Rushing Yards	46th (172.0)	28th (187.9)
Yards Per Rush Attempt	20th (5.03)	25th (4.98)
First Downs Gained	50th (216)	56th (211)
3rd Down Con. %	56th (40.8%)	89th (36.5%)
4th Down Con. %	86th (46.2%)	54th (53.8%)
Red Zone Con. %	64th (84.6%)	86th (80.6%)
Turnovers Lost	117th (20)	38th (12)
Interceptions Thrown	114th (13)	75th (9)
Fumbles Lost	83rd (7)	15th (3)
Tackles for Loss Allowed	33rd (4.80)	38th (4.90)
Sacks Allowed	19th (1.30)	64th (2.00)
Avg. Time of Possession	21st (31:50)	20th (31:54)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Defensive Statistics:

	Miami	Louisville
Total Defense	19th (312.5)	16th (300.1)
Yards Allowed Per Play	25th (4.99)	24th (4.95)
Scoring Defense	34th (20.7)	12th (17.1)
Passing Yards Allowed	66th (226.5)	40th (208.2)
Rushing Yards Allowed	6th (86.0)	9th (91.9)
First Downs Allowed	17th (165)	8th (154)
3rd Down Defensive %	36th (35.0%)	6th (28.0%)
4th Down Defensive %	4th (20.0%)	27th (40.0%)
Red Zone Defensive %	90th (86.5%)	3rd (66.7%)
Turnovers Gained	48th (15)	18th (18)
Interceptions Caught	46th (9)	19th (11)
Fumbles Recovered	46th (6)	28th (7)
TFL Per Game	10th (7.7)	23rd (2.70)
Sacks Per Game	7th (3.30)	39th (6.2)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Special Teams Statistics:

	Miami	Louisville
Net Punting	38th (40.14)	71st (38.54)
Avg. Kickoff Return	11th (25.32)	119th (16.38)
Avg. Kickoff Return Def.	63rd (19.57)	67th (19.88)
Avg. Punt Return	85th (6.73)	108th (4.68)
Avg. Punt Return Def.	87th (9.50)	69th (7.43)
Field Goal Attempts	19-22	14-20
PAT	32-33	39-40

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have an 46.1 percent chance to win against the Hurricanes. Louisville has an FPI rating of 12.6 (23rd overall), whereas Miami has an FPI rating of 11.1 (25th overall).

- SP+ Prediction: Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 50.70 percent chance to take down the Hurricanes. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 12.0 (21st overall), whereas Miami has an SP+ rating of 9.2 (26th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 24, Miami 20.

(Photo via Jared Anderson - Louisville Report)

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