Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Pitt

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (6-0, 3-0 ACC) is set to face Pitt (1-4, 0-2 ACC) on Saturday, Oct. 14 at 6:30 p.m. EST at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pa. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers:

- Rankings:

	Pitt	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	14th/15th
SOS	96th	78th
SP+	53rd	20th
FPI	58th	21st
Sagarin	75th	24th

- Offensive Statistics:

	Pitt	Louisville
Total Offense	120th (308.2)	20th (467.3)
Yards Per Play	104th (5.14)	10th (7.10)
Scoring Offense	96th (23.4)	20th (36.3)
Passing Yards	106th (192.6)	36th (275.0)
Yards Per Completion	23rd (13.96)	14th (14.73)
Rushing Yards	108th (115.6)	28th (192.3)
Yards Per Rush Attempt	108th (3.59)	25th (5.08)
First Downs Gained	121st (87)	48th (127)
3rd Down Con. %	87th (37.7%)	72nd (39.7%)
4th Down Con. %	86th (45.5%)	6th (83.3%)
Red Zone Con. %	21st (92.3%)	55th (86.4%)
Turnovers Lost	61st (8)	61st (8)
Interceptions Thrown	60th (5)	89th (6)
Fumbles Lost	55th (3)	28th (2)
Tackles For Loss Allowed	58th (5.40)	30th (4.33)
Sacks Allowed	100th (2.60)	54th (1.83)
Avg. Time of Possession	95th (28:56)	37th (31:09)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Defensive Statistics:

	Pitt	Louisville
Total Defense	20th (301.6)	26th (322.8)
Yards Allowed Per Play	23rd (4.80)	40th (5.11)
Scoring Defense	70th (26.0)	22nd (17.7)
Passing Yards Allowed	16th (173.2)	64th (224.2)
Rushing Yards Allowed	51st (128.4)	17th (98.7)
First Downs Allowed	20th (88)	38th (99)
3rd Down Defensive %	45th (35.8%)	19th (32.1%)
4th Down Defensive %	107th (66.7%)	13th (33.3%)
Red Zone Defensive %	94th (86.7%)	3rd (58.3%)
Turnovers Gained	118th (4)	4th (14)
Interceptions Caught	121st (1)	5th (8)
Fumbled Recovered	53rd (3)	8th (6)
Sacks Per Game	14th (3.20)	55th (2.33)
TFL Per Game	23rd (7.0)	63rd (5.8)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Special Teams Statistics:

	Pitt	Louisville
Net Punting	70th (38.70)	103rd (36.45)
Avg. Kickoff Return	11th (25.90)	92nd (18.00)
Avg. Kickoff Return Def.	39th (17.25)	89th (21.11)
Avg. Punt Return	115th (2.92)	91st (5.25)
Avg. Punt Return Def.	112th (13.62)	70th (8.00)
Field Goal Attempts	4-7	10-13
PAT	15-15	26-26

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have an 71.0 percent chance to win against the Fighting Irish. Louisville has an FPI rating of 12.0 (21st overall), whereas Pitt has an FPI rating of 1.1 (58th overall).

- SP+ Prediction:

Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 69.56 percent chance to take down the Panthers. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 14.3 (20th overall), whereas Pitt has an SP+ rating of 3.1 (53rd overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 31, Pitt 21.

(Photo of M.J. Devonshire, Tyler Hudson: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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