Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Stanford

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Cardinal for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Louisville Cardinals linebacker Stanquan Clark (6) warms up ahead of their game against the Austin Peay Governors on Saturday, Aug. 31, 2024 at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium in Louisville, Ky. / Clare Grant/Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (6-3, 4-2 ACC) is set to face Stanford (2-7, 1-5 ACC) on Saturday, Nov. 16 at 3:30 p.m. EST at Stanford Stadium in Palo Alto, Calif. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cardinal:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Stanford	Louisville
AP/USA Today	NR/NR	22nd/24th
CFP	NR	19th
SOS	17th	15th
SOR	103rd	22nd
SP+	104th	20th
FPI	103rd	13th
Sagarin	112th	18th
Kelley Ford	99th	16th
CFB Insiders	95th	15th

Offensive Statistics

	Stanford	Louisville
Total Offense	122nd (315.9)	19th (449.6)
Yards Per Play	127th (4.78)	8th (6.89)
Scoring Offense	117th (20.4)	18th (36.2)
Passing Yards	120th (175.4)	16th (286.4)
Yards Per Completion	130th (9.87)	48th (12.70)
Rushing Yards	93rd (140.4)	62nd (163.1)
Yards Per Rush Attempt	96th (3.85)	16th (5.42)
First Downs Gained	109th (166)	65th (191)
3rd Down Con. %	114th (34.5%)	89th (37.7%)
4th Down Con. %	78th (50.0%)	78th (50.0%)
Red Zone Con. %	115th (75.9%)	91st (81.6%)
Turnovers Lost	118th (18)	28th (9)
Interceptions Thrown	125th (13)	23rd (5)
Fumbles Lost	62nd (5)	42nd (4)
Tackles for Loss Allowed	133rd (9.22)	31st (4.44)
Sacks Allowed	123rd (3.33)	38th (1.44)
Avg. Time of Possession	37th (31:07)	83rd (29:27)

Key: National Rank out of 134 FBS Teams (Value)

Defensive Statistics

	Stanford	Louisville
Total Defense	106th (412.9)	70th (369.1)
Yards Allowed Per Play	121st (6.51)	50th (5.29)
Scoring Defense	120th (34.6)	68th (24.2)
Passing Yards Allowed	126th (268.1)	72nd (223.3)
Rushing Yards Allowed	65th (144.8)	67th (145.8)
First Downs Allowed	72nd (183)	51st (176)
3rd Down Defensive %	112th (44.4%)	60th (38.0%)
4th Down Defensive %	121st (70.0%)	107th (66.7%)
Red Zone Defensive %	102nd (89.2%)	70th (84.6%)
Turnovers Gained	55th (13)	125th (7)
Interceptions Caught	67th (7)	128th (2)
Fumbles Recovered	32nd (6)	53rd (5)
TFL Per Game	81st (5.2)	41st (6.2)
Sacks Per Game	62nd (2.00)	57th (2.11)

Key: National Rank out of 134 FBS Teams (Value)

Special Teams Statistics:

	Stanford	Louisville
Net Punting	79th (38.58)	114th (36.33)
Avg. Kickoff Return	88th (18.80)	57th (20.48)
Avg. Kickoff Return Def.	108th (22.90)	36th (17.79)
Avg. Punt Return	47th (9.73)	119th (3.87)
Avg. Punt Return Def.	88th (8.71)	46th (5.60)
Field Goal Attempts	10-12	13-20
PAT	22-22	41-41

Key: National Rank out of 134 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 91.2 percent chance to win against the Cardinal. Louisville has an FPI rating of 15.1 (13th overall), whereas Stanford has an FPI rating of -8.4 (103rd overall).

- SP+ Prediction: Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 89.81 percent chance to take down the Cardinal. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 12.6 (20th overall), whereas Stanford has an SP+ rating of -11.5 (104th overall).

- Kelley Ford Prediction: Per the Kelley Ford ratings, the Cardinals have a 95 percent chance to defeat the Cardinal. Louisville has a KFord rating of 15.4 (16th overall), whereas Stanford has a KFord rating of -8.4 (99th overall).

- College Football Insiders Prediction: Per College Football Insiders' IPR metric, the Cardinals have a 90.95 percent chance to take down the Cardinal. Louisville has an IPR rating of 63.0 (15th overall), whereas Stanford has an IPR rating of 36.0 (95th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 44, Stanford 17

(Photo of Stanquan Clark: Clare Grant - Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK)

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