Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Jacksonville State

Take a look at how the Gamecocks stack up against the Governors for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Louisville Cardinals wide receiver Chris Bell (0) runs down the field through Austin Peay Governors defensive back Cinque Williams (4) hold during their game on Saturday, Aug. 31, 2024 at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium in Louisville, Ky. / Clare Grant/Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (1-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Jacksonville State (0-1, 0-0 C-USA) on Saturday, Sept. 7 at 3:30 p.m. EST at L&N Stadium in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Gamecocks:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

- Rankings:

	Jax State	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	22nd/24th
SOS	46th	95th
SOR	98th	58th
SP+	118th	18th
FPI	120th	13th
Sagarin	121st	22nd
Kelley Ford	115th	14th

- Offensive Statistics:

	Jax State	Louisville
Total Offense	88th (357.0)	17th (571.0)
Yards Per Play	65th (6.26)	12th (9.21)
Scoring Offense	85th (27.0)	8th (62.0)
Passing Yards	66th (234.0)	46th (2780)
Yards Per Completion	21st (16.71)	95th (10.30)
Rushing Yards	92nd (123.0)	15th (293.0)
Yards Per Rush Attempt	80th (4.10)	2nd (10.46)
First Downs Gained	111th (16)	57th (23)
3rd Down Con. %	131st (10.0%)	77th (40.0%)
4th Down Con. %	1st (100.0%)	83rd (0.0%)
Red Zone Con. %	1st (100.0%)	69th (85.7%)
Turnovers Lost	116th (3)	1st (0)
Interceptions Thrown	105th (2)	1st (0)
Fumbles Lost	82nd (1)	1st (0)
Tackles For Loss Allowed	40th (4.00)	40th (4.00)
Sacks Allowed	103rd (3.00)	78th (2.00)
Avg. Time of Possession	128th (20:09)	52nd (30:50)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Defensive Statistics:

	Jax State	Louisville
Total Defense	125th (552.0)	2nd (106.0)
Yards Allowed Per Play	121st (7.17)	3rd (1.83)
Scoring Defense	129th (55.0)	1st (0)
Passing Yards Allowed	106th (258.0)	6th (72.0)
Rushing Yards Allowed	130th (294.0)	8th (34.0)
First Downs Allowed	111th (25)	7th (9)
3rd Down Defensive %	95th (41.7%)	38th (26.7%)
4th Down Defensive %	112th (100.0%)	1st (0.0%)
Red Zone Defensive %	76th (100.0%)	1st (0.0%)
Turnovers Gained	21st (2)	21st (2)
Interceptions Caught	34th (1)	34th (1)
Fumbles Recovered	14th (1)	14th (1)
TFL Per Game	79th (5.0)	4th (14.0)
Sacks Per Game	N/A	2nd (7.00)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Special Teams Statistics:

	Jax State	Louisville
Net Punting	42nd (42.33)	94th (35.67)
Avg. Kickoff Return	43rd (23.00)	N/A
Avg. Kickoff Return Def.	113th (24.25)	53rd (16.00)
Avg. Punt Return	92nd (0.00)	48th (9.25)
Avg. Punt Return Def.	89th (4.00)	7th (0.00)
Field Goal Attempts	2-2	2-2
PAT	3-3	8-8

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have an 96.8 percent chance to win against the Gamecocks. Louisville has an FPI rating of 14.8 (13th overall), whereas Jacksonville State has an FPI rating of -13.0 (120th overall).

- SP+ Prediction: Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 97.82 percent chance to take down the Gamecocks. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 15.5 (18th overall), whereas Jacksonville State has an FPI rating of -16.3 (118th overall).

- Kelley Ford Prediction: Per the Kelley Ford ratings, the Cardinals have a 98 percent chance to take down the Gamecocks. Louisville has an KFord rating of 14.6 (14th overall), whereas Jacksonville State has an KFord rating of -12.7 (115th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 45, Jacksonville State 10.

(Photo of Chris Bell: Clare Grant/Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK)

You can follow Louisville Cardinals On SI for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter/X and Instagram:

Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
Twitter/X - @LouisvilleOnSI
Instagram - @louisvilleonsi

You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter/X