Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Georgia Tech

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Yellow Jackets for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Sep 1, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets running back Jamal Haynes (11) runs past Louisville Cardinals linebacker Keith Brown (22) in the second quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images / Brett Davis-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Georgia Tech (3-1, 1-1 ACC) on Saturday, Sept. 21 at 3:30 p.m. EST at L&N Stadium in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Yellow Jackets:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

- Rankings:

	GT	UofL
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	19th/20th
SOS	58th	131st
SOR	43rd	58th
SP+	49th	16th
FPI	36th	13th
Sagarin	53rd	21st
Kelley Ford	40th	15th
CFB Insiders	34th	15th

- Offensive Statistics:

	GT	UofL
Total Offense	36th (446.3)	4th (590.5)
Yards Per Play	21st (97.26)	1st (590.5)
Scoring Offense	31st (36.5)	3rd (55.5)
Passing Yards	46th (267.0)	13th (327.5)
Yards per Completion	68th (12.14)	44th (13.10)
Rushing Yards	47th (179.3)	9th (263.0)
Yards Per Rush Attempt	35th (5.60)	2nd (8.22)
First Downs Gained	4th (89)	88th (52)
3rd Down Con. %	30th (48.7%)	11th (56.5%)
4th Down Con. %	21st (80.0%)	1th (100.0%)
Red Zone Con. %	1st (100.0%)	71st (83.3%)
Turnovers Lost	6th (1)	1st (0)
Interceptions Thrown	24th (1)	1st (0)
Fumbles Lost	1st (0)	1st (0)
Tackles For Loss Allowed	32nd (3.50)	17th (3.00)
Sacks Allowed	1st (0.00)	29th (1.00)
Avg. Time of Possession	115th (26:26)	12th (33:36)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Defensive Statistics:

	GT	Louisville
Total Defense	66th (317.5)	8th (198.0)
Yards Allowed Per Play	66th (5.16)	3rd (3.36)
Scoring Defense	51st (17.8)	10th (7.0)
Passing Yards Allowed	81st (219.0)	11th (116.0)
Rushing Yards Allowed	33rd (98.5)	25th (82.0)
First Downs Allowed	125th (71)	4th (28)
3rd Down Defensive %	64th (35.2%)	5th (22.2%)
4th Down Defensive %	108th (70.0%)	125th (100.0%)
Red Zone Defensive %	56th (80.0%)	22nd (66.7%)
Turnovers Gained	94th (2)	65th (3)
Interceptions Caught	N/A	55th (2)
Fumbles Recovered	21st (2)	53rd (1)
TFL Per Game	35th (7.0)	5th (9.5)
Sacks Per Game	107th (1.25)	2nd (4.50)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Special Teams Statistics:

	GT	UofL
Net Punting	33rd (41.83)	130th (32.00)
Avg. Kickoff Return	122nd (12.75)	126th (11.00)
Avg. Kickoff Return Def.	90th (19.50)	58th (18.00)
Avg. Punt Return	60th (9.10)	54th (9.71)
Avg. Punt Return Def.	32nd (0.75)	12th (0.00)
Field Goal Attempts	2-4	2-4
PAT	20-20	15-15

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have an 78.2 percent chance to win against the Yellow Jackets. Louisville has an FPI rating of 14.7 (13th overall), whereas Georgia Tech has an FPI rating of 5.8 (36th overall).

- SP+ Prediction: Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 79 percent chance to take down the Yellow Jackets. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 16.2 (16th overall), whereas Georgia Tech has an FPI rating of 5.9 (49th overall).

- Kelley Ford Prediction: Per the Kelley Ford ratings, the Cardinals have an 83 percent chance to take down the Yellow Jackets. Louisville has a KFord rating of 15.2 (15th overall), whereas Georgia Tech has a KFord rating of 6.5 (40th overall).

- College Football Insiders Prediction: Per College Football Insiders' IPR metric, the Cardinals have a 63.32 percent chance to take down the Yellow Jackets. Louisville has an IPR rating of 61.5 (15th overall), whereas Georgia Tech has an IPR rating of 52.5 (34th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 41, Georgia Tech 28.

(Photo via Brett Davis - Imagn Images)

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