LSU Football vs. Florida Gators: What the Oddsmakers Believe Will Happen

The LSU Tigers look to avoid a third consecutive loss, head to Gainesville for a Week 12 clash against Florida.

Courtesy of LSU Football.

No. 21 LSU (6-3, 3-2) will look to bounce back in Week 12 in a matchup against Billy Napier and the Florida Gators with kickoff set for 2:30 p.m. CT on Saturday afternoon.

The Tigers' College Football Playoff hopes diminished on Saturday night in Tiger Stadium after a catastrophic 42-13 loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Brian Kelly and Co. will now be on the outside looking in after falling to 6-3 on the season with their second Southeastern Conference loss of the year.

LSU has now dropped three contests to Southern Cal, Texas A&M and Alabama.

Now, with three games remaining on the regular season schedule and a bowl game also in the mix, the Bayou Bengals will have an opportunity to eclipse their third straight 10-win season under Kelly.

“We have the opportunity to finish the season strong and look forward to a minimum of a 10-win season, and that’s a standard for this program,” Kelly said on Monday. “We have to play more consistent. Offense, defense and special teams. That’s what is most important. Consistency play in and play out.”

All focus now shifts towards this Saturday against Billy Napier and the Gators with the Tigers hitting the road to Gainesville.

A look into the early betting lines, trends and what the oddsmakers predict to happen in Week 12:

The Game Information: LSU Tigers at Florida Gators

• Time: 3:30 PM ET
• Date: Saturday, Nov. 16
• Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
• TV Channel: SEC Network

The Early Betting Odds: LSU Tigers at Florida Gators

*(All odds according to DraftKings Sportsbook)*

Spread:
- LSU: (-4.5)
- Florida: (+4.5)

Moneyline:
- LSU: (-185)
- Florida: (+154)

Over/Under: 55

The LSU Tigers are currently a 4.5-point favorite heading into the Week 12 clash. A line that hovered around the five-point mark a week ago, Vegas continues leaning towards the Tigers as the favorites on Saturday night.

The Betting Trends:

LSU is 3-6 against the spread (33.3%) overall so far this season.

Florida is 5-4 (55.6%) against the spread in 2024.

LSU is 1-2 against the spread on the road.

Florida is 2-3 against the spread at home.

LSU is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 games.

Florida is 2-6 against the spread in its last 8 games at home.

LSU is 2-4 against the spread in its last 6 road games.

Florida is 0-4-1 against the spread in its last 5 games against LSU.

The total went over in 10 of LSU’s last 11 road games.

The total went over in 6 of Florida’s last 9 home games.

LSU is 2-5 against the spread in its last 7 games as the favorite.

Florida is 4-1 against the spread in its last 5 games on a Saturday.

What the Bettors are Saying:

LSU continues receiving a majority of the bets ahead of the Week 12 clash against the Florida Gators in Gainesville.

According to College Football-HQ: "LSU is getting 73 percent of bets to win the game and cover the narrow spread to avoid a third-straight loss. The other 27 percent of wagers project Florida will either win outright in the upset, or keep the final margin under five points in a loss."

The early point spread implies a narrow 30-25 victory for the LSU Tigers on the road against Billy Napier and the Florida Gators.

ESPN's Football Power Index Weighs in on Week 12 Result:

LSU Tigers at Florida Gators: 57% Chance

The Bayou Bengals will enter Saturday night in Gainesville with a 57% chance at walking away with a victory, according to ESPN's FPI.

Kelly and Co. will hop on a flight later this week to the Sunshine State for another Southeastern Conference road game where Billy Napier and the Gators will be waiting.

For Florida, it's a program that has nothing to lose down the stretch this season after announcing that Napier will return in 2025.

But the key factor here will be Gators signal-caller DJ Lagway and his status ahead of kickoff as he nurses a hamstring injury.

Nonetheless, ESPN's FPI gives LSU a 57% chance to come out with a win in Week 12 in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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