What the Analytics Say: LSU Football vs. Florida Gators in Week 12

Vegas is all over Saturday afternoon's Southeastern Conference matchup, Tigers looking to bounce back.
Courtesy of LSU Football.
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No. 21 LSU (6-3, 3-2) will look to bounce back in Week 12 in a matchup against Billy Napier and the Florida Gators with kickoff set for 2:30 p.m. CT on Saturday afternoon.

The Tigers' College Football Playoff hopes diminished on Saturday night in Tiger Stadium after a catastrophic 42-13 loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Brian Kelly and Co. will now be on the outside looking in after falling to 6-3 on the season with their second Southeastern Conference loss of the year.

LSU has now dropped three contests to Southern Cal, Texas A&M and Alabama.

Now, with three games remaining on the regular season schedule and a bowl game also in the mix, the Bayou Bengals will have an opportunity to eclipse their third straight 10-win season under Kelly.

The Game Information: LSU Tigers at Florida Gators

  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Date: Saturday, Nov. 16
  • Venue: Ben Hill Griffin
  • TV Channel: ABC Network

The Current Betting Odds: LSU Tigers at Florida Gators

*(All odds according to DraftKings Sportsbook)*

Spread:
- LSU: (-4.5)
- Florida: (+4.5)

Moneyline:
- LSU: (-185)
- Florida: (+154)

Over/Under: 55

The LSU Tigers are currently a 4.5-point favorite heading into the Week 12 clash. A line that hovered around the five-point mark a week ago, Vegas continues leaning towards the Tigers as the favorites on Saturday night.

The Betting Trends:

LSU is 3-6 against the spread (33.3%) overall so far this season.

Florida is 5-4 (55.6%) against the spread in 2024.

LSU is 1-2 against the spread on the road.

Florida is 2-3 against the spread at home.

LSU is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 games.

Florida is 2-6 against the spread in its last 8 games at home.

LSU is 2-4 against the spread in its last 6 road games.

Florida is 0-4-1 against the spread in its last 5 games against LSU.

The total went over in 10 of LSU’s last 11 road games.

The total went over in 6 of Florida’s last 9 home games.

LSU is 2-5 against the spread in its last 7 games as the favorite.

Florida is 4-1 against the spread in its last 5 games on a Saturday.

Vegas Chimes In:

LSU continues receiving a majority of the bets ahead of the Week 12 clash against the Florida Gators in Gainesville.

According to College Football-HQ: "LSU is getting 73 percent of bets to win the game and cover the narrow spread to avoid a third-straight loss. The other 27 percent of wagers project Florida will either win outright in the upset, or keep the final margin under five points in a loss."

The early point spread insinuates a narrow 30-25 victory for the LSU Tigers on the road against Billy Napier and the Florida Gators.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

More LSU News:

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Nick Saban Calls LSU Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier a "Sleeper" Ahead of 2024 Season

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Zack Nagy
ZACK NAGY

Zack Nagy is the Managing Editor and Publisher of LSU Country, a Sports Illustrated Publication. Nagy has covered Tiger Football, Basketball, Baseball and Recruiting, looking to keep readers updated on anything and everything involving LSU athletics.