Notre Dame Football: ESPN FPI Projects Irish Odds in Every Game for 2024

ESPN FPI likes Notre Dame's chances to have a very memorable fall on the football field

Apr 20, 2024; Notre Dame, IN, USA; Notre Dame Fighting Irish head coach Marcus Freeman watches in the Blue-Gold game at Notre Dame Stadium. / Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

College football season kicks off in just over a week when Florida State and Georgia Tech square off in Ireland.

A week later the majority of the rest of the sport gets going and among the marquee week one matchups is Notre Dame's trip to Texas A&M the evening of August 31.

It's one of what seem to be three marquee games for Notre Dame this season and will go a long way in telling a story of the 2024 Fighting Irish football team.

Although preseason rankings don’t mean much in the long run, ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) is built to calculate the odds of a team's success in a given matchup. The first set of game projections are out for FPI and the formula sees a big year for Notre Dame.

Just how big? Let's take a look at the numbers...

Notre Dame at Texas A&M - Aug. 31

Game Location: Kyle Field
Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 58.8%

Notre Dame vs. Northern Illinois - Sept. 7

Game Location: Notre Dame Stadium
Game Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 96.8%

Notre Dame at Purdue - Sept. 14

Game Location: Ross-Ade Stadium
Game Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 84.6%

Notre Dame vs. Miami (Ohio) - Sept. 21

Game Location: Notre Dame Stadium
Game Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 94.8%

Notre Dame vs. Louisville - Sept. 28

Game Location: Notre Dame Stadium
Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 76.1%

Notre Dame vs. Stanford - Oct. 12

Game Location: Notre Dame Stadium
Game Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 92.8%

Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech - Oct. 19

Game Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)
Game Time: TBD
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 86.1%

Notre Dame vs. Navy - Oct. 26

Game Location: MetLife Stadium (Meadowlands, NJ)
Game Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 97.3%

Notre Dame vs. Florida State - Nov. 9

Game Location: Notre Dame Stadium
Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 70.5%

Notre Dame vs. Virginia - Nov. 16

Game Location: Notre Dame Stadium
Game Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 92.7%

Notre Dame vs. Army - Nov. 23

Game Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
Game Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 96.2%

Notre Dame at USC - Nov. 30

Game Location: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Game Time: TBD
ESPN FPI Odds of Notre Dame Win: 61.8%

Notre Dame Football/ESPN FPI Preseason Summary:

FPI Chance of Notre Dame going 12-0: 15.8%

Chance of Making College Football Playoff: 59.1%

Make National Championship Game: 10.0%

Win National Championship: 4.8%

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