Oregon Ducks Most Wins In College Football: Analytics Predict Ducks Over Georgia Bulldogs

The Oregon Ducks are weeks away from kicking off their 2024 college football season. FPI's predicted 10.8 wins for Oregon is the most wins for any team in the nation, topping the Georgia Bulldogs' 10.3 projected wins and Ohio State's projected 10.2 wins.
Oregon running back Noah Whittington carries the ball for the Ducks as the Oregon Ducks host Hawaii Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, at Hayward Field in Eugene, Ore.
Oregon running back Noah Whittington carries the ball for the Ducks as the Oregon Ducks host Hawaii Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, at Hayward Field in Eugene, Ore. / Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK

The Oregon Ducks are weeks away from kicking off their 2024 college football season. Oregon joins the Big Ten as a new team threatening to challenge for the title.

On offense, the Ducks boast the nation's No. 1 transfer quarterback in Dillon Gabriel, surrounded by acrobatic receivers and a deep rushing attack. Oregon's trenches are stacked with elite speed in the secondary.

Oregon quarterback Dillon Gabriel looks to pass during the Ducks’ fall camp
Oregon quarterback Dillon Gabriel looks to pass during the Ducks’ fall camp Tuesday, Aug. 6, 2024, at the Hatfield-Dowlin Complex in Eugene, Ore. / Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK

An exciting roster and innovative coaching staff equals high expectations predictions.

The Football Power Index by ESPN simulates each game 20,000 times and rates every team in FBS by a projected point margin per game and predicts win margin against an average team on a neutral field.

According to those analytics, Oregon will win 10.8 games with a 76 percent shot at the College Football Playoff. Those FPI analytics also show the Ducks as the favorite to win the Big Ten title in 2024 (a 37.5 percent chance.)

FPI's predicted 10.8 wins for Oregon is the most wins for any team in the nation, topping the Georgia Bulldogs' 10.3 projected wins and Ohio State's projected 10.2 wins.

Of course, in real football there is no decimals when it comes to victories. However, the FPI is a real tool to illustrate which teams could dominate in the upcoming season and the Ducks are in the top.

The Ducks are currently competing against each other in fall football camp. Oregon played its first padded practice on Tuesday and coach Dan Lanning was pleased.

“Just the competitive nature and the toughness element showing up," coach Lanning said. "This is where guys’ bodies start to hurt and you see who’s real and who’s not."

The Ducks will scrimmage on Saturday.

Oregon kicks off the 2024 season vs. Idaho on Aug. 31 in Autzen Stadium (4:30 p.m. PT, Big Ten Network).

MORE: Oregon Ducks College Football Playoff Prediction

MORE: Oregon Ducks 'Relentless' Linebackers: Injury Update, Turnovers Focus


Published
Bri Amaranthus

BRI AMARANTHUS

Bri Amaranthus is an Emmy-winning sports reporter with over 12 years of experience in television, radio, podcasting, and digital sports journalism. She has been with Sports Illustrated for four years, providing breaking news, exclusive interviews, and analysis on the NFL, college sports, and the NBA. Prior to joining SI, Bri hosted NBC Sports Northwest's prime-time television show, where she also served as the Oregon beat reporter and created content covering both the NBA and college sports. Throughout her career, Bri has achieved significant milestones, including covering major events like the NBA Finals, NFL playoffs, College Football Playoff, NCAA Basketball Tournament, NFL Draft, and the NFL Combine. She earned a D1 scholarship to play softball at the University of San Diego and won two state softball titles in high school in Oregon. In addition to her Emmy win for NBC's All-Star Coach special, she has received multiple Emmy nominations, highlighting her dedication and talent in sports journalism.