SP+ Predicts Virginia Tech vs Rutgers Final Score

Will Virginia Tech win their third straight game this weekend when they host Rutgers?
Sep 7, 2024; Blacksburg, Virginia, USA; Virginia Tech Hokies quarterback Kyron Drones (1) run for a touchdown during the third quarter against Marshall Thundering Herd cornerback Jacobie Henderson (10) at Lane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter Casey-Imagn Images
Sep 7, 2024; Blacksburg, Virginia, USA; Virginia Tech Hokies quarterback Kyron Drones (1) run for a touchdown during the third quarter against Marshall Thundering Herd cornerback Jacobie Henderson (10) at Lane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter Casey-Imagn Images / Peter Casey-Imagn Images
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Virginia Tech is going to be back at home this weekend for their final non-conference game of the year. Ahead of their matchup with No. 8 Miami next week, the Hokies have to get by Rutgers first, which won't be easy. The Scarlet Knights have a physical defense and with the way that Virginia Tech has started in some games this season, they are going to pose a lot of challenges for the Hokies.

When the odds for the upcoming game were released yesterday, the oddsmakers favored Virginia Tech by a small amount and SP+ is saying the same thing this week. Bill Connelly's SP+ System is projecting the Hokies to win by a score of 26-23 and gives Virginia Tech a 59% chance to win the game.

What exactly is SP+? Here is how Connelly himself describes it:

"As always, these are based on three primary factors: returning production (final rankings for which you can find at the bottom of this piece), recent recruiting and recent history. How good have you been recently? Whom do you have coming back? How good are the players replacing those you don't have coming back? That's loosely what we ask when we're setting expectations for a team; it's also what these projections attempt to do objectively.

As always: SP+ is a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. It is a predictive measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football, not a résumé ranking, and, along those same lines, these projections aren't intended to be a guess at what the AP Top 25 will look like at the end of the year. These are simply early offseason power rankings based on the information we have been able to gather to date."

When the odds were released yesterday morning on Caesars Sportsbook, Virginia Tech opened up as a five-point favorite over the Scarlet Knights, and the total was set at 47. Now, Virginia Tech is favored only by 3.5 and the total has dropped to 46.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.


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Jackson Caudell

JACKSON CAUDELL

Jackson Caudell has been covering Georgia Tech Athletics For On SI since March 2022 and the Atlanta Hawks for On SI since October 2023. Jackson is also the co-host of the Bleav in Georgia Tech podcast and he loves to bring thoughtful analysis and comprehensive coverage to everything that he does. Find him on X @jacksoncaudell