Where the Twins sit in MLB's new draft lottery system
Following the lead of NBA, Major League Baseball will hold its first draft lottery sometime before the end of 2022. And now that the regular season is over, the lottery odds of the 18 non-playoff are set.
The Minnesota Twins finished 78-84, tied with the Red Sox for the 13th-worst record in the majors. Unfortunately, that's no-man's land in the lottery. Bad enough to miss the playoffs, but not bad enough to have a legit shot at winning a top pick.
The Twins have a 0.9% chance to win the top pick, compared to a 71.9% chance to stay at 13. Their next-highest odds are the 14th pick (18.77). The three worst teams, the Nationals, Athletics and Pirates, each have a 16.5% shot at the top pick.
- Nationals — 16.50%
- Athletics — 16.50%
- Pirates — 16.50%
- Reds —13.25%
- Royals — 10.00%
- Tigers — 7.50%
- Rangers — 5.50%
- Rockies — 3.90%
- Marlins — 2.70%
- Angels — 1.80%
- D-backs — 1.40%
- Cubs — 1.10%
- Twins — 0.90%
- Red Sox — 0.76%
- White Sox — 0.62%
- Giants — 0.48%
- Orioles — 0.36%
- Brewers — 0.23%
The lottery will determine the first six picks in the draft, with the teams who don't land in the top six then picking in order of worst record. Tiebreakers will go to the team with the worse record from the season prior, which is why the Twins are just ahead of the Red Sox in the lottery odds.
Minnesota could pick anywhere from 1-6 or 13-17. Here's their pick-by-pick odds.
- 0.9%
- 1.0%
- 1.2%
- 1.4%
- 1.7%
- 2.0%
- 0%
- 0%
- 0%
- 0%
- 0%
- 0%
- 71.9%
- 18.7%
- 1.2%
- >0.0%
- >0.0%
- 0%
Title: Bring Me The Sports co-owner, editor Email: joe@bringmethenews.com Twitter: @JoeBMTN Education: Southwest Minnesota State University Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota Expertise: All things Minnesota sports Nelson has covered Minnesota sports for two decades, starting his media career in sports radio. He worked at small market Minnesota stations in Marshall and St. Cloud before joining one of the nation's highest-rated sports stations, KFAN-FM 100.3 in the Twin Cities. There, he was the producer of the top-rated mid-morning sports show with Minnesota Vikings announcer Paul Allen. His radio experience helped blossom a career as a sports writer, joining Minneapolis-based Bring Me The News in 2011. Nelson and Adam Uren became co-owners of Bring Me The News in 2018 and have since more than tripled the site's traffic and launched Bring Me The Sports in cooperation with the Sports Illustrated/FanNation umbrella. Nelson has covered the Super Bowl and numerous training camps, NFL combines, the MLB All-Star Game and Minnesota playoff games, in addition to the day-to-day happenings on and off the field of play. Nelson also has extensive knowledge of non-sports subjects, including news and weather. He works closely with Bring Me The News meteorologist Sven Sundgaard to produce a bevy of weather and climate information for Minnesota readers. Nelson helped launch and manage the Bring Me The News Radio Network, which provided more than 50 radio stations around Minnesota with daily news, sports and weather reports from 2011-17.