Alabama vs. Ole Miss score prediction by college football computer model

Expert score predictions for Ole Miss vs. Alabama in this Week 4 college football game

This weekend brings us another annual clash in the black and blue division between two ranked teams as Ole Miss hits the road against Alabama in college football's Week 4 action on Saturday.

Of the two teams, it's Ole Miss that comes in undefeated through three games, scoring 100 second-half points so far this season and boasting a credible offensive threat even as receiver Tre Harris and back Quinshon Judkins deal with injuries.

Alabama sits at 2-1, off a loss against Texas and coming out of a sloppy 17-3 victory at USF that left plenty of questions at quarterback and in pass protection. Nick Saban hopes to answer them by re-installing Jalen Milroe under center after experimenting with both Tyler Buchner and Ty Simpson last week.

What can we expect when things kick off? Let's check in on how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 4 game.

Ole Miss vs. Alabama predictions

Ole Miss vs. Alabama picks, best bets / USA Today Images

Score prediction: The models come out with a consensus pick in favor of Alabama with a 65 percent chance to win, and by a projected score of 32 to 25 against Ole Miss, with the Tide getting an estimated 6.7 point margin of victory in the game.

Point spread: Alabama comes into the game as 6.5 point favorites against Ole Miss, according to the latest lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 55.5 points.

FPI prediction: College Football Power Index, another computer model that projects games using statistical analytics, estimates that Alabama has the 66.0 percent chance to defeat Ole Miss, which has a 34.0 percent shot at the upset, according to the model that simulates games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Where the bets are: The spread consensus pick is siding with the Rebels, as a narrow 52 percent majority of bettors are picking Ole Miss at +6.5, with 48 percent of wagers taking the Crimson Tide to win and cover the 6.5 point spread. All wagers currently estimate the total will go under 55.5 points.

Betting trends: Rebels are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 vs. Alabama... Ole Miss is 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 against SEC West teams... Crimson Tide is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 against SEC teams... Total went over in 4 of Alabama's last 6 Saturday games.

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Alabama vs. Ole Miss schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 23
Time: 2:30 p.m. Central
TV: CBS network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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