Alabama vs. Auburn picks, predictions: Iron Bowl 2023 game odds, lines
One of college football's most intensely-fought rivalry games is set for this weekend on The Plains, and for one team a win could result in being propelled back into College Football Playoff contention, while for the other, it could be the biggest statement by far for its first-year head coach.
- Alabama sits at 10-1 overall and 7-0 in SEC play, with a loss at home to Texas the only blemish on its record this season
- Tide has clinched the SEC West and will play Georgia for the conference championship the week after this game
- The loss to Texas has kept the Crimson Tide out of the playoff conversation, but a win here combined with an upset against Georgia, and some other chaos in the rankings, could find Bama in the talk for the final four
- Auburn dropped a surprise decision at home to New Mexico State last week despite being 26 point favorites
- First-year coach Hugh Freeze is 2-3 against Nick Saban in his career, formerly at Ole Miss
What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.
Alabama vs. Auburn picks, predictions
College Football Power Index is a computer prediction model devised by analysts that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times and pick winners.
Alabama odds: The simulations favor the Crimson Tide to win the game outright, coming out ahead in 85.6 percent of the projections, or 17,120 predictions.
Auburn odds: That leaves the Tigers as the projected winner in the remaining 14.4 percent of sims, or 2,880 predictions.
Point spread: Alabama is a 13 point favorite against Auburn, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total for the game at 48.5 points.
Moneyline: UA -550 | AU +425
Score prediction? By taking the average scoring margin for each team, the computer predicts that Alabama will defeat Auburn by 16.9 points, or by 17 if we round up, enough to cover the line.
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Alabama at Auburn game time
When: Sat., Nov. 25
Time: 2:30 p.m. Central
TV: CBS network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)
More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams