Florida State vs. Boston College picks, predictions: Week 3 college football odds, lines

Expert picks and predictions for Florida State vs. Boston College in this Week 3 college football game in the ACC opener
Florida State vs. Boston College picks, predictions: Week 3 college football odds, lines
Florida State vs. Boston College picks, predictions: Week 3 college football odds, lines /

Fresh off a statement victory over LSU to start this season, Florida State is the new favorite to win the ACC title and contend for the College Football Playoff coming into the ACC opener against Boston College in college football's Week 3 action on Saturday.

So far, the Seminoles offense has put up 111 points in wins over LSU and Southern Miss and is averaging 524 yards per game behind quarterback Jordan Travis, who has 517 yards passing this season with six touchdowns. His top target is transfer Keon Coleman, the deep threat who has four touchdown catches off 12 receptions for 170 yards on the year.

BC head coach Jeff Hafley is 15-21 overall and 9-17 in ACC games in three-plus seasons and is coming off an overtime loss to Northern Illinois in the opener and needed a late push at home to get past Holy Cross to move to 1-1 overall.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Florida State vs. Boston College picks, predictions

Florida State Seminoles quarterback Jordan Travis attempts a pass during a college football game.
Florida State vs. BC picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Florida State odds: The computers are siding comfortably with the Seminoles, who have the 96.7 percent chance to win the game outright, according to the model that picks winners by simulating games 20,000 times.

Boston College odds: FPI gives the Eagles a slim 3.3 percent shot to defend home field against the 'Noles, which runs in line with what the bookmakers are saying, too.

Point spread: Florida State comes into the game as 27.5 point favorites against Boston College, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook. (Track it live)

Total: 54.5 points (Over -111, Under -111)

Florida State predictions: Tops in the ACC this week, the Seminoles also placed No. 5 nationally on the index's 133 college football rankings, owing to their projected 23.0 point edge against average opponents on a neutral field. FPI forecasts that Florida State will win 11.0 games this season and has a 40.8 shot to make the College Football Playoff.

Boston College predictions: Dead last in the ACC this week, the computers rate BC as the No. 101 team in the country, forecasted to be 9.3 points worse than an average opponent, and projects to win 3.5 games this season.

Florida State vs. BC schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 16
Time: 12 p.m. Eastern
TV: ABC network
Stream: fuboTV (Try for free)

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

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College football rankings

More: A closer look at the AP top 25

First-place votes in parentheses

  1. Georgia (55)
  2. Michigan (2)
  3. Florida State (3)
  4. Texas (2)
  5. USC
  6. Ohio State
  7. Penn State
  8. Washington
  9. Notre Dame
  10. Alabama
  11. Tennessee
  12. Utah
  13. Oregon
  14. LSU
  15. Kansas State
  16. Oregon State
  17. Ole Miss
  18. Colorado
  19. Oklahoma
  20. North Carolina
  21. Duke
  22. Miami
  23. Washington State
  24. UCLA
  25. Iowa

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

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Published
James Parks
JAMES PARKS

James Parks is the founder and publisher of College Football HQ. He previously covered football for 247Sports and CBS Interactive. College Football HQ joined the Sports Illustrated Fannation Network in 2022.