Florida State vs. Florida picks, predictions: Week 13 college football odds, lines

Expert game predictions for Florida State vs. Florida by the college football model that picks winners

Despite the loss of starting quarterback Jordan Travis to an injury, Florida State is still very much in the College Football Playoff and national championship picture coming into Saturday's game against Florida as Rivalry Week kicks off.

• Seminoles are riding with quarterback Tate Rodemaker after Travis went down last week with a serious leg injury
• Already having clinched a spot in the ACC title game, Florida State needs to stay perfect to stay in the playoff conversation
• Meanwhile, the Gators are fighting for bowl eligibility, coming in at 5-6 overall and losing the last four straight games, including against three ranked teams
• Florida is 50th nationally in scoring offense, scoring just under 30 points per game, and 88th in scoring defense, allowing just under 28

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Florida State vs. Florida picks, predictions

College Football Power Index is a computer prediction model devised by analysts that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times and pick winners.

Florida State odds: The simulations favor the Seminoles to win the game, coming out ahead in 81.4 percent of the projections, or 16,280 predictions.

Florida odds: That leaves the Gators as the projected winner in the remaining 18.6 percent of sims, or 3,720 projections.

Point spread: Florida State is a 6.5 point favorite against Florida, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 51.5 points for the game.

Moneyline: FSU -240 | UF +200

Score prediction? By taking the average scoring margin per game for each team, the computer predicts that Florida State will defeat Florida by 14.4 points, not enough to cover the line.

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Florida State at Florida game time

When: Sat., Nov. 25
Time: 7 p.m. Eastern
TV: ESPN network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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