Florida vs. Florida State picks, predictions: Week 13 college football odds, spread, lines

Picks and predictions for Florida vs. Florida State as the college football schedule turns to Rivalry Week and the regular season finale

A pair of traditional in-state rivals meet up in the Sunshine State the day after Thanksgiving as Florida and Florida State square off in college football's Week 13 action on Friday.

Florida State comes in at 8-3 overall, eclipsing the 8-win mark for the first time since 2016 in a breakout season for coach Mike Norvell, sitting at second in its division behind Clemson, and top 15 nationally with 217 rushing yards per game, fresh off four straight wins, scoring over 40 points in three of them.

Place your bets: College football picks against the spread for Week 13

Meanwhile, first-year Gators coach Billy Napier is hoping to salvage what has been an up-and-down debut season, dropping three of his last five and coming off a loss to perennial SEC basement-dweller Vanderbilt.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Florida vs. Florida State picks, predictions

Florida vs. Florida State picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Florida State's chance of victory: The computers project the Seminoles as the clear favorite, with a 76.9 percent chance to win the game outright.

Florida's chance of victory: That leaves the reeling Gators with the outside 23.1 percent edge to pull off the upset and avoid falling to .500 to end the season.

Point spread: Florida State comes into the game as 10 point favorites to win, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.

Total: 57.5 points

Moneyline: Florida +275 | Florida State -400

Try your luck: Bet on Florida vs. Florida State on SI Sportsbook

Spread consensus pick: Florida State -10

College Football HQ prediction: Our own projections indicate that Florida State has a 72 percent chance to win the game outright, by a 34-23 score, hit the under, and cover the spread.

College football pick 'em: Week 13 picks, predictions by computer model

How to watch: The game is set for Fri., Nov. 25 at 7:30 p.m. Eastern time on the main ABC network and streams on fuboTV (Try for free).

College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance. 

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

College football rankings

According to CFP Selection Committee

1. Georgia
2. Ohio State
3. Michigan
4. TCU
5. LSU
6. USC
7. Alabama
8. Clemson
9. Oregon
10. Tennessee
11. Penn State
12. Kansas State
13. Washington
14. Utah
15. Notre Dame
16. Florida State
17. North Carolina
18. UCLA
19. Tulane
20. Ole Miss
21. Oregon State
22. UCF
23. Texas
24. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

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