Georgia vs. Florida picks, predictions: Week 9 college football odds, lines

Expert predictions for Georgia vs. Florida by the college football analytic model that picks game winners
Georgia vs. Florida picks, predictions: Week 9 college football odds, lines
Georgia vs. Florida picks, predictions: Week 9 college football odds, lines /

An SEC football classic returns this weekend as The World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party returns to the gridiron to host long-time rivals both returning from their open week as Florida faces off against No. 1 ranked, undefeated Georgia.

  • Georgia remains undefeated, but is without star tight end Brock Bowers after he sustained an ankle injury vs. Vanderbilt
  • Florida is 5-2 overall and 3-1 in SEC play, good enough for the No. 3 spot in the East Division standings behind Missouri and leader UGA
  • What do the experts project for the rivalry game?
  • Let's turn to the College Football Power Index prediction model to project a winner

Georgia vs. Florida picks, predictions

Georgia Bulldogs running back Cash Jones on a rushing attempt during a college football game in the SEC.
Georgia vs. Florida game picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Georgia odds: The simulations strongly favor the Bulldogs, who have an 85.2 percent chance to win the game outright, coming out ahead in 17,040 of the 20,000 simulations the computer uses to pick game winners.

Florida odds: That leaves the Gators as the projected winner in the remaining 14.8 percent of sims, or the other 2,960 predictions by the model.

Point spread: Georgia is a 14.5 favorite against Florida on the SI Sportsbook big board and the total is set at 49 points for the game.

Georgia projections: The index forecasts the Bulldogs to win 11.3 games this season with a 39.4 percent chance to win the SEC championship, behind Alabama.

Florida projections: FPI estimates the Gators will win 6.3 games this season and have a 79.1 percent chance to become bowl eligible.

Score prediction? By taking the difference between the index's projected scoring margin for each team, the computer projects that Georgia will defeat Florida by 15.1 points in the game.

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

Georgia vs. Florida schedule

When: Sat., Oct. 28
Time: 3:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: CBS network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)


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Published
James Parks
JAMES PARKS

James Parks is the founder and publisher of College Football HQ. He previously covered football for 247Sports and CBS Interactive. College Football HQ joined the Sports Illustrated Fannation Network in 2022.