Georgia vs. TCU game picks, predictions: College Football Playoff national championship odds, lines

Early predictions and odds for the College Football Playoff national title game between Georgia and TCU
Georgia vs. TCU game picks, predictions: College Football Playoff national championship odds, lines
Georgia vs. TCU game picks, predictions: College Football Playoff national championship odds, lines /

It all come down to this as Georgia and TCU are set to face off in the College Football Playoff national championship game to settle the score for the 2022 season.

Two of the most dramatic and thrilling semifinal games in CFP history helped set it up as Georgia slipped past Ohio State and TCU held off Michigan in the Peach Bowl and Fiesta Bowl, respectively.

The defending national champion Bulldogs needed every second to get past the Buckeyes, whose last-second field goal sailed wide left to secure Georgia's one-point victory in Atlanta.

Georgia was down 38-24 going into the fourth quarter but put together a trio of frantic scoring drives to come from behind and win. Stetson Bennett finished the game with 398 passing yards and three touchdowns in the game.

More: Georgia beats Ohio State: College Football Playoff highlights

TCU finds itself in the national title game in Sonny Dykes' first season on the job and after pulling off the biggest upset in College Football Playoff history, knocking off No. 2 Michigan as an eight-point underdog.

But the Frogs needed their A-game to withstand a furious Michigan comeback bid that saw both teams score a combined 38 points in the third quarter alone. 

TCU's defense recorded two pick-sixes and Quentin Johnston had 163 yards receiving in the first win by a Big 12 team in the College Football Playoff.

Related: TCU takes down Michigan in bonkers CFP semifinal game

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

College Football Playoff: Georgia vs. TCU picks, predictions

Georgia Bulldogs tight end Brock Bowers catches a pass during a college football game in the SEC.
Georgia vs. TCU picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Georgia prediction: The computer is siding strongly with the Bulldogs, who have a 72.9 percent chance to win the game outright.

TCU prediction: That leaves the Horned Frogs with the 27.1 percent edge to pull off the upset, according to the latest index projections.

Point spread: Georgia comes into the game as 13 point favorites against TCU, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.

Total: 63 | Over -110 | Under -118

Moneyline: Georgia -568 | TCU +370

Spread consensus pick: Georgia -13 (81% of bets are on the Bulldogs)

Score prediction: Team Rankings projects that Georgia will defeat TCU by an estimated score of 37.3 to 24.5 (TCU +13, Under 63).

How to watch, stream: The game is set for Mon., Jan 9 at 7:30 p.m. Eastern time on the main ESPN network and streams live on fuboTV (Try for free).

College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

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College Football Playoff top 25 rankings

  1. Georgia
  2. Michigan
  3. TCU
  4. Ohio State
  5. Alabama
  6. Tennessee
  7. Clemson
  8. Utah
  9. Kansas State
  10. USC
  11. Penn State
  12. Washington
  13. Florida State
  14. Oregon State
  15. Oregon
  16. Tulane
  17. LSU
  18. UCLA
  19. South Carolina
  20. Texas
  21. Notre Dame
  22. Mississippi State
  23. NC State
  24. Troy
  25. UTSA

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | All Teams

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Published
James Parks
JAMES PARKS

James Parks is the founder and publisher of College Football HQ. He previously covered football for 247Sports and CBS Interactive. College Football HQ joined the Sports Illustrated Fannation Network in 2022.