North Carolina vs. App State picks, predictions: College football Week 2 computer picks, betting lines, game odds

Expert game picks and predictions for North Carolina vs. Appalachian State as the Week 2 college football schedule kicks off on Saturday
North Carolina vs. App State picks, predictions: College football Week 2 computer picks, betting lines, game odds
North Carolina vs. App State picks, predictions: College football Week 2 computer picks, betting lines, game odds /

Fresh off an impressive statement victory against a border rival from the SEC, now it's time for North Carolina to go into a rematch against Appalachian State in college football's Week 2 action on Saturday.

Carolina played a tight one at Boone a year ago, coming out with the final 63-61 victory, but not before the Mountaineers put a scare into the Tar Heels defense to the tune of 649 total yards and a 6 touchdown showing from Chase Brice, who engineered a 40 point fourth quarter in that game.

Granted, that game wasn't a great look for Gene Chizik's defensive strategy, but in the months since then, Carolina does appear to have tightened things up somewhat on that side of the ball after recording 9 sacks and holding the Gamecocks to 11 yards rushing in an important season opener last weekend.

What do the experts think of this matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

North Carolina vs. Appalachian State picks, predictions

North Carolina Tar Heels quarterback Drake Maye drops back for a pass in a college football game in the ACC.
North Carolina vs. App State picks, predictions / USA Today Images

North Carolina odds: The index is predictably siding with the Tar Heels, but by a surprising 91.5 percent margin against the Mountaineers, according to the analytics model that simulated games 20,000 times to pick winners.

App State odds: Conversely, the visiting team has the 8.5 percent chance to pull off the upset, according to the index projections.

Point spread: North Carolina comes into the game as 19.5 point favorites against Appalachian State, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook. Track it live

Total: 59.5 points

Moneyline: NC -901 | APP +500

North Carolina predictions: The index rates the Tar Heels as the No. 21 team on its latest 133 college football rankings, projecting the team to be 12.3 points better than an average opponent, and estimated to win 8.8 games this season. FPI suggests Carolina has an 8.6 percent chance to win the ACC championship.

App State predictions: The FPI dropped the Mountaineers down 10 spots on the poll this week, estimating them to be 7.0 points worse than an average opponent, and projecting the team to win 6.1 games on the season.

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North Carolina vs. App State schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 9
Time: 5:15 p.m. Eastern
TV: ACC Network
Stream: fuboTV (Try for free)

College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

How to stream college football

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You can stream college football, the NFL, and other programming from any device, including your phone. There’s no contract, no hidden fees, and DVR is included: Click here to watch college football for free on fuboTV.

College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

  1. Georgia (58)
  2. Michigan (2)
  3. Alabama
  4. Florida State (3)
  5. Ohio State
  6. USC
  7. Penn State
  8. Washington
  9. Tennessee
  10. Notre Dame
  11. Texas
  12. Utah
  13. Oregon
  14. LSU
  15. Kansas State
  16. Oregon State
  17. North Carolina
  18. Oklahoma
  19. Wisconsin
  20. Ole Miss
  21. Duke
  22. Colorado
  23. Texas A&M
  24. Tulane
  25. Clemson

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

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Published
James Parks
JAMES PARKS

James Parks is the founder and publisher of College Football HQ. He previously covered football for 247Sports and CBS Interactive. College Football HQ joined the Sports Illustrated Fannation Network in 2022.