Oklahoma vs. Florida State picks, predictions: Cheez-It Bowl schedule, odds, lines

Making predictions for Oklahoma vs. Florida State as the Cheez-It Bowl helps kick off the college football bowl schedule this week

College football bowl season continues this week as a pair of traditional powerhouses in different places meet in the Cheez-It Bowl as Oklahoma and Florida State square off for the big bucket of Cheez-its on Thursday.

Oklahoma is still breaking in a new head coach in Brent Venables while Florida State is finally starting to get some positive results from its choice, Mike Norvell.

Norvell has helped lead the Seminoles to their first winning season under his watch while Venables has steered the Sooners to their worst outing in more than 20 years.

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Florida State got some welcome news as quarterback Jordan Travis announced he'll return for the 2023 season after helping lead an offensive renaissance this fall by passing for 22 touchdowns against only four interceptions.

A win here would give Florida State its first 10-win season since 2016 and would force Oklahoma to its first losing campaign since 1998, the year before Bob Stoops entered the picture.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Cheez-It Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Florida picks, predictions

Florida State vs. Oklahoma picks, predictions / USA Today Images

Florida State prediction: The computers are siding strongly with the Seminoles, who have the 65.2 percent chance to win the game outright.

Oklahoma prediction: That leaves the Sooners with the outside 34.8 percent edge to pull off the upset, according to the index's projections.

Point spread: Florida State comes into the game as 9.5 point favorites against Oklahoma, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.

Total: The book set the over/under mark at 65.5 points for the game.

Moneyline: Florida State -400 | Oklahoma +275

Spread consensus pick: Florida State -9.5 (77% of bets are going with the Seminoles)

Score prediction: Team Rankings projects that Florida State will defeat Oklahoma by an estimated score of 37.1 to 28.2 (Oklahoma +9, Under 65.5)

How to watch, stream: The game is set for Thurs., Dec. 29 at 5:30 p.m. Eastern time and 4:30 p.m. Central time on the main ESPN network and streams live on fuboTV (Try for free).

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

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College Football Playoff rankings

1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. TCU
4. Ohio State
5. Alabama
6. Tennessee
7. Clemson
8. Utah
9. Kansas State
10. USC
11. Penn State
12. Washington
13. Florida State
14. Oregon State
15. Oregon
16. Tulane
17. LSU
18. UCLA
19. South Carolina
20. Texas
21. Notre Dame
22. Mississippi State
23. NC State
24. Troy
25. UTSA

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