Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State picks, predictions: Egg Bowl odds, lines

Expert game predictions for Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State by the college football model that picks winners

One of the SEC's most storied football rivalries renews this weekend as the Egg Bowl returns to Starkville with Mississippi State playing host to Ole Miss on Thanksgiving night, with one team looking to win its 10th game and the another looking for a coach.

• MSU parted ways with Zach Arnett less than a full season into his tenure after the Bulldogs went just 1-6 in SEC play and ranked 114th in passing production
• State scored under 20 points in six games this season
• Ole Miss is second in the SEC West at 9-2 overall and 5-2 in SEC play with losses to the teams playing for the league title, Alabama and Georgia
• Rebels are 7-0 this season when they score 30 points in a game and are 16th nationally in both scoring average and passing output

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State picks, predictions

College Football Power Index is a computer prediction model devised by analysts that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times and pick winners.

Ole Miss odds: The computer favors the Rebels to win the game in 82 percent of its simulations, or in 16,400 of its projections.

Mississippi State odds: That leaves the Bulldogs as the projected winner in the remaining 18 percent of sims, or 3,600 predictions.

Point spread: Ole Miss is a 10.5 point favorite against Mississippi State, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 55.5 points for the game.

Moneyline: Rebs -450 | MSU +360

Score prediction? By averaging out each team's expected scoring margin per game, the computer projects that Ole Miss will defeat Mississippi State by 14.7 points, or by 15 points if we round up, enough to cover the line.

Bet on Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State here

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