Ole Miss vs. Tulane score prediction by college football computer model

What to expect as Ole Miss and Tulane meet in this Week 2 college football game with updated score predictions from the world of analytics
Ole Miss vs. Tulane score prediction by college football computer model
Ole Miss vs. Tulane score prediction by college football computer model /

It was one of the more consequential quarterback competitions of the offseason as Jaxson Dart and Spencer Sanders duked it out, but in the end Dart prevailed and held onto the job for Ole Miss, which goes into what should be a raucous Yulman Stadium in a non-conference game against Tulane in college football's Week 2 action on Saturday.

Dart looked good enough when targeting Tre Harris, the transfer wide receiver who caught three of the quarterback's touchdown passes in the opening quarter alone as the Rebels rolled to a 73-7 destruction of Mercer in the season opener.

Defending ACC champion and Cotton Bowl winner Tulane wants to throw the ball, too, with quarterback Michael Pratt returning to his starting role, hitting 14 of 15 passes for almost 300 yards and four touchdowns in the Green Wave's season debut.

What can we expect when things kick off? Let's check in on how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 2 game.

Ole Miss vs. Tulane predictions

Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart scrambles on a play during a college football game.
Week 2 Ole Miss vs. Tulane picks / USA Today Images

Ole Miss vs. Tulane score prediction: The SP+ model projects that Ole Miss will win the game outright by an estimated score of 33 to 26, with an expected 65 percent chance to win overall, and by a projected 6.8 points.

Point spread: Ole Miss comes into the game as 6.5 point favorites against Tulane, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook. Track it live

FPI prediction: Expect a convincing win for Ole Miss, which has the comfortable 77.3 percent chance to win the game, compared to Tulane at 22.7 percent, according to the College Football Power Index computer prediction model that picks winners by simulating games 20,000 times.

Related: Ole Miss vs. Tulane picks, predictions, Week 2 college football odds, lines

How we're betting: Tulane won't be able to generate the turnovers it did on opening day and has the bodies to create enough pressure at the line so Dart (or Sanders) won't always have as much time as they want to throw. Pratt will test the back seven most of the day, but the Rebels can run the ball better and run clock when they have to. Ole Miss wins, but close. Tulane +6.5

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Ole Miss vs. Tulane schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 9
Time: 2:30 p.m. Central
TV: ESPN2 network
Stream: fuboTV Try for free


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James Parks
JAMES PARKS

James Parks is the founder and publisher of College Football HQ. He previously covered football for 247Sports and CBS Interactive. College Football HQ joined the Sports Illustrated Fannation Network in 2022.