Oregon vs. Texas Tech score prediction by college football computer model

What to expect as Oregon and Texas Tech meet in this Week 2 college football game with updated score predictions from the world of analytics

Tyler Shough gets a crack at his former team this weekend as Texas Tech looks for its first win of the season as it welcomes Pac-12 contender Oregon to Lubbock in college football's Week 2 action on Saturday.

Texas Tech was supposed to be a dark horse contender for the Big 12 championship this year, and it still can be, but only if the team can properly recover from a surprise double-overtime loss at Wyoming in the season opener. Tech built up an early 17-0 lead in that game but a costly turnover and blocked field goal contributed to the loss, as did some patchy defense and a failed two-point conversion try.

Oregon pummeled Portland State in an 81-7 result that was little more than a preseason scrimmage, a nice morale booster for a Ducks team that feels it has the power to contend for the Pac-12 title in this last season before joining the Big Ten.

What can we expect when things kick off? Let's check in on how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 2 game.

Oregon vs. Texas Tech predictions

Week 2 Oregon vs. Texas Tech picks / USA Today Images

Oregon vs. Texas Tech score prediction: The SP+ model projects that Oregon will defeat Texas Tech by an estimated score of 38 to 26, with a predicted 12.5 point scoring margin, and has a 76 percent chance to win the game.

Point spread: Oregon comes into the game as 6.5 point favorites against Texas Tech, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook. Track it live

FPI prediction: Fresh off its 74-point win in the opener, Oregon has the 67.4 percent chance to win the game this week outright, compared with Texas Tech, which has the projected 32.6 percent chance to win, according to the College Football Power Index, another computer prediction model that picks winners by simulating games 20,000 times.

Related: Oregon vs. Texas Tech picks, predictions, Week 2 college football odds, lines

What we're betting: Tech still has big questions to answer in the front seven and might struggle against the variety that Oregon can show them when running the ball, while on the other side it may have issues establishing the run itself against a Ducks front that will be among the most physical it sees this year. Oregon -6.5

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Oregon vs. Texas Tech schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 9
Time: 6 p.m. CT, 4 p.m. PT
TV: Fox network
Stream: fuboTV Try for free

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