Oregon vs. Utah picks, predictions: Week 9 college football odds, lines

Expert predictions for Oregon vs. Utah by the college football analytic model that picks game winners

Pac-12 rivals come into this weekend both coming off statement victories and each in a three-way tie for third place in the conference standings, as No. 8 Oregon hits the road to face off against No. 13 Utah in college football's Week 9 action on Saturday.

• Oregon took down Wazzu in a 38-24 decision at home last week and is posting more than 553 total yards per game
• Despite playing some of college football's least statistically-productive offense, Utah took down USC on the road in a 3-point victory
• What do the experts make of this matchup?
• Let's turn to the College Football Power Index computer prediction model to project the game

Oregon vs. Utah picks, predictions

Oregon odds: The simulations are siding with the Ducks, who have a 68.7 percent chance to win the game, winning out in 13,740 of the 20,000 simulations the computer uses to pick game winners.

Utah odds: Conversely, the Utes win out in the remaining 31.3 percent of sims, or the other 6,260 predictions by the model.

Point spread: Oregon is a 7 point favorite against Utah, according to SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 49 points for the game.

Oregon projections: The computer projects Oregon will be 21.6 points better than an average opponent and forecasts it will win 10.4 games this season.

Utah projections: The index estimates the Utes to be 12.3 points better than opponents on average and expects them to win 9.0 games on the year.

Score prediction? By taking the difference between each team's projected scoring margin per game, the computer predicts Oregon will defeat Utah by 9.3 points.

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

Oregon at Utah schedule

When: Sat., Oct. 28
Time: 1:30 p.m. Mountain
TV: Fox network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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