Texas A&M vs. Miami score prediction by college football computer model

What to expect as Texas A&M and Miami square off in this Week 2 college football game with updated score predictions from the world of analytics

The second week of the season brings us an intriguing matchup between up and comer teams from the ACC and the SEC as No. 23 Texas A&M squares off against Miami in college football's Week 2 action on Saturday, and now it's time to lock in our predictions for how the game will play out.

Conner Weigman earned the starting nod for the Aggies at quarterback and he repaid that faith with a 236 yard performance in the opener against New Mexico, passing for a personal-best five touchdowns, three of which landed in Noah Thomas' hands while Evan Stewart caught two more while leading the team with 115 yards on the night.

Miami took down the other Miami, from Ohio, posting almost 500 yards as Tyler Van Duke hit over 200 with a touchdown and an interception while the Hurricanes rambled for 250 yards and almost 7 per touch.

This year's meeting is a rematch of the Ags-Canes game of a year ago, when A&M took down Miami in a 17-9 result. Both teams finished the 2022 season at 5-7.

What can we expect when things kick off? Let's check in on how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 2 game.

Texas A&M vs. Miami predictions

Week 2 Texas A&M vs. Miami picks / USA Today Images

Texas A&M vs. Miami score prediction: The SP+ model projects that Texas A&M will win the game and defeat Miami by a projected score of 24 to 22, an expected margin of 1.1 points, and has a win probability of 55 percent overall.

Point spread: Texas A&M comes into the game as 3.5 point favorites against Miami, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook. Track it live

FPI prediction: A different view from another analytics model, as Miami is favored to win the game with 53.2 percent likelihood, compared with Texas A&M at 46.8 percent, according to College Football Power Index, another projection system that picks winners by simulating games 20,000 times.

Related: Texas A&M vs. Miami picks, predictions, Week 2 college football odds, lines

What we're betting: Miami's backs could struggle to maintain possession and generate needed gains on third down against A&M's superior front seven unit, while the Hurricanes will be able to generate pressure from the edges and their safeties could be the best the Aggies throw against all season, two strengths that could stymie A&M's ability to move the ball down the stretch. Miami +4.5

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Texas A&M vs. Miami schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 9
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET, 2:30 p.m. CT
TV: ABC network
Stream: fuboTV Try for free

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