Florida vs. Kentucky odds, spread, lines: Week 2 college football picks, predictions by computer model

Florida vs. Kentucky picks, according to College Football Power Index

A pair of resurgent SEC rivals meet on the gridiron in Week 2 as newly ranked Florida squares off against Kentucky in the Swamp on Saturday.

Unranked in the preseason, Florida used a hard-nosed and physical upset over No. 7 Utah to get a major boost in the polls, while Kentucky comes in a year removed from a historic win over the Gators last fall.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Florida vs. Kentucky odds, spread, lines, predictions

Week 2 college football schedule: Kentucky at Florida

Football Power Index projects a close game, with Florida coming in as the favorites to win with a narrow 54.8 percent chance to beat UK.

That gives Kentucky a 45.2 percent shot to take down the Gators on the road.

The oddsmakers also foresee a close call, with Florida coming in as 5.5 point favorites, according to SI Sportsbook, which set the over/under mark at 52 points.

FPI rates Florida as the No. 24 team in the nation, according to its latest college football rankings, projected to be 10.6 points better than the teams on its schedule on average, and expected to win 7.4 games on the season.

Kentucky checks in at No. 20 overall on the index, projected to win 8.0 games and 12.1 points better than each team on its schedule.

AP top 25 voters gave Florida a huge promotion this week, as the Gators come in at No. 12 after being unranked. Kentucky stayed put at No. 20 overall following a win over Miami (OH).

College Football Power Index

ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance. 

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

1. Alabama
2. Georgia
3. Ohio State
4. Michigan
5. Clemson
6. Texas A&M
7. Oklahoma
8. Notre Dame
9. Baylor
10. USC
11. Oklahoma State
12. Florida
13. Utah
14. Michigan State
15. Miami
16. Arkansas
17. Pittsburgh
18. NC State
19. Wisconsin
20. Kentucky
21. BYU
22. Ole Miss
23. Wake Forest
24. Tennessee
25. BYU

---

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Facebook