Kansas State vs. Texas Tech odds, spread, lines: Week 5 college football picks, predictions by computer model

Expert picks, predictions for Kansas State vs. Texas Tech on the Week 5 college football schedule
Kansas State vs. Texas Tech odds, spread, lines: Week 5 college football picks, predictions by computer model
Kansas State vs. Texas Tech odds, spread, lines: Week 5 college football picks, predictions by computer model /

A pair of Big 12 rivals meet as the newly ranked Kansas State hosts Texas Tech in college football's Week 5 action on Saturday.

Both are coming off statement wins last weekend: Texas Tech, in an overtime victory over Texas; and Kansas State, in its 3rd of the last 4 against Oklahoma.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Kansas State vs. Texas Tech odds, spread, predictions

Kansas State Wildcats college football team schedule, rankings
Week 5 college football picks: Kansas State vs. Texas Tech

The index favors the Wildcats in the game, with a 68.8 percent chance of defeating the Red Raiders on Saturday, according to the computer.

That leaves Texas Tech the 31.2 percent shot at beating Kansas State on the road.

Oddsmakers project a closer game, as Kansas State comes in as the 8 point favorites to win, according to the line at SI Sportsbook, which set the over/under mark at 57.5 points for the matchup.

Kansas State checks in at No. 26 on the index's 131 college football rankings, an improvement of 11 spots, but still not quite enough to crack the top 25.

FPI predicts the Wildcats will win 6.9 games on the season and projected to be 9.4 points better on average than the teams on its schedule.

AP top 25 voters included K-State in the No. 25 position in the new poll, just edging out in-state rival (and undefeated) Kansas.

Tech owns a No. 47 ranking on the FPI polls, no change despite the team's win over the Longhorns in overtime.

The index predicts the Red Raiders will win 6.1 games on the season and be an estimated 5.9 points better on average than its opponents week to week.

Related: College football scores | College football rankings | College football schedule

College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

How to watch college football this season

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Click here to start your free college football fuboTV trial

College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

  1. Georgia
  2. Alabama
  3. Ohio State
  4. Michigan
  5. Clemson
  6. USC
  7. Kentucky
  8. Tennessee
  9. Oklahoma State
  10. NC State
  11. Penn State
  12. Utah
  13. Oregon
  14. Ole Miss
  15. Washington
  16. Baylor
  17. Texas A&M
  18. Oklahoma
  19. BYU
  20. Arkansas
  21. Minnesota
  22. Wake Forest
  23. Florida State
  24. Pittsburgh
  25. Kansas State

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James Parks
JAMES PARKS

James Parks is the founder and publisher of College Football HQ. He previously covered football for 247Sports and CBS Interactive. College Football HQ joined the Sports Illustrated Fannation Network in 2022.