North Carolina vs. Georgia State odds, spread, line: Week 2 college football picks, predictions by computer model

College Football Power Index picks, predictions for North Carolina vs. Georgia State

North Carolina needed 63 points to put down Appalachian State in the season opener and comes into Week 2 with a mandate to tighten up its defense going forward.

This week should provide an opportunity for just that as the Tar Heels go on the road to Georgia State this Saturday.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see what the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects for the game.

North Carolina vs. Georgia State football picks, predictions

North Carolina opens Week 2 at Georgia State / USA Today Images

Football Power Index is siding with the Tar Heels, but by a surprisingly narrow margin, with a 76.6 percent chance to defeat the Panthers.

By contrast, Georgia State has a 23.4 percent shot to upset UNC.

Oddsmakers are going with Carolina, which comes in as 7 point favorites over the Panthers, according to SI Sportsbook, which set an over/under mark of 67.5 points.

FPI rates North Carolina as the No. 39 overall team in its latest college football rankings and projects it will win 7.9 games this season.

Georgia State checks in at No. 92 in the index, which projects it will finish with 5.3 wins on the year and finish 9th in the Sun Belt.

College Football Power Index

ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance. 

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

1. Alabama
2. Georgia
3. Ohio State
4. Michigan
5. Clemson
6. Texas A&M
7. Oklahoma
8. Notre Dame
9. Baylor
10. USC
11. Oklahoma State
12. Florida
13. Utah
14. Michigan State
15. Miami
16. Arkansas
17. Pittsburgh
18. NC State
19. Wisconsin
20. Kentucky
21. BYU
22. Ole Miss
23. Wake Forest
24. Tennessee
25. Houston

---

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Facebook