USC vs. Oregon State odds, spread, lines: Week 4 college football picks, predictions by computer model

Expert picks, predictions for USC vs. Oregon State on the Week 4 college football schedule

USC and Oregon State meet up both with perfect records through three games in college football's Week 4 action on Saturday.

Southern Cal owns a win in Pac-12 play already after defeating Stanford, but Oregon State opens its conference slate by hosting the Trojans.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

USC vs. Oregon State odds, spread, predictions

Week 4 college football schedule: USC vs. Oregon State / USA Today Images

FPI projects a comfortable victory for USC, which has a 69.4 percent chance to defeat Oregon State, according to the computer.

Oregon State has a 30.6 percent chance to upset the Trojans.

The oddsmakers predict a close matchup, as USC comes in the 6.5 point favorites, according to SI Sportsbook, which set an over/under mark of 68 points for the game.

USC checks in as the No. 11 team in the index's 131 college football rankings, and is projected to win 10.9 games on the year, according to the computer.

Southern Cal is an estimated 17.3 points better on average than the teams on its schedule, while OSU is a projected 7.3 points better than its opponents.

AP top 25 voters kept USC in the No. 7 position in its Week 4 poll.

Oregon State is the No. 36 team on the index national poll, a major improvement of 14 spots after a big win over Montana State.

College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance. 

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

1. Georgia
2. Alabama
3. Ohio State
4. Michigan
5. Clemson
6. Oklahoma
7. USC
8. Kentucky
9. Oklahoma State
10. Arkansas
11. Tennessee
12. NC State
13. Utah
14. Penn State
15. Oregon
16. Ole Miss
17. Baylor
18. Washington
19. BYU
20. Florida
21. Wake Forest
22. Texas
23. Texas A&M
24. Pittsburgh
25. Miami

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