College football rankings: Predicting the 10 most dominant teams in 2024

With the help of ESPN's preseason 134-team rankings, let's make our predictions for the most dominant college football teams ahead of the 2024 season.

College football's most dominant teams looking ahead to a historic 2024 season. / Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

With just days until the start of the 2024 college football season, it's officially Talkin' Season with preseason rankings making the rounds ahead of what figures to be a historic year of football marked by conference realignment and the expanded playoff.

Related: Ranking college football's 10 likely first-time CFP teams

With just weeks to go before the season begins, ESPN revealed its official preseason 134-team rankings on the Football Power Index. The index simulates every game 20,000 times and rates every team in FBS by a projected point margin per game that it predicts they'll win by against an average team on a neutral field.

Ranking College Football's 10 Most Dominant Teams in 2024

10. Missouri

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The index projects Missouri, bringing back key offensive personnel after a statement 11-win season, will be 15.4 points better than an average team in 2024, with an expected 37.3 percent chance to make the College Football Playoff, and predicted to go 9-3 during the regular season.

9. Tennessee

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The computers give the Volunteers a 36.9 percent chance to make the expanded playoff while projecting they will win 8.6 games and be 16.6 points better than an average team. Nico Iamaleava steps in at QB1 at the helm of what should be one of the SEC's more exciting offenses.

8. Oklahoma

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FPI predicts the Sooners will be 17.2 points better on the field this season while winning 8.2 games against a tough schedule in their SEC debut, good enough for a 36.6 percent shot at the 12-team playoff behind what should be an improved product on defense while young quarterback Jackson Arnold learns the ropes behind a new line.

7. Notre Dame

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An expanded playoff should help the Fighting Irish in the title chase, but not being in a conference will deprive them of a first-round bye opportunity. Still, ND gets 19 points on opponents by the computer's projections, which include a 10.1 win total and a good 59 percent shot at the CFP.

6. Penn State

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Another school expected to take advantage of the larger playoff, the Nittany Lions get offensive skill back and should play strong defense again, a projected 19.8 points better on the field by FPI's rankings, and expected to win 10.1 games with 2.3 losses.

5. Alabama

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For the first time in a long time, the Crimson Tide are expected to win fewer than 10 games, coming out with a projected 9.3 wins against 3 losses on the index, but should be 21.9 points better than what it calls average teams, creating a bit more pressure for Kalen DeBoer as he steps in for the GOAT.

4. Ohio State

Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA

Loaded with blue-chip transfers after an aggressive offseason, the Buckeyes are not atop the preseason Big Ten rankings on the power index. But they're still top-four, expected to be 22.2 points better on the field, projected to win 10.2 games with 2.2 losses, and placing second with a 25.7 percent shot at the B1G title.

3. Texas

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Bound for the SEC after their first playoff appearance a year ago, the Longhorns are loaded for bear, second-favorite in their new league on the index, with a 24.2 percent shot to win in Atlanta, expected to win 10 games, and be 22.9 points better than opponents on average.

2. Oregon

Craig Strobeck-USA TODAY Sports

There could be a new alpha dog in the Big Ten, as the Ducks join their new conference as its projected favorite on the index. Oregon is set to be 24.5 points better on the field and win 10.8 games with a 76 percent shot at the CFP behind two monster lines and the nation's best receiving corps.

1. Georgia

Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The class of college football this season, the sport's budding dynasty and its favorite to win what would be a third title in four years, Georgia leads the nation in the race to win its conference, make the playoff, and hoist the trophy. FPI projects the Dawgs are 26.8 points better than teams on the field and will win 10.3 games while losing an expected two matchups.

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