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Premier League Title Race Predicted: Just One Point To Separate Arsenal And Man City In Final Standings

Sunday's 2-2 draw between Liverpool and Arsenal means that the destiny of the Premier League title race is now officially in Manchester City's hands.

If City win their remaining nine games then Arsenal cannot finish with more points than Pep Guardiola's team, who currently have a better goal difference than the Gunners.

However, the title race is also still in Arsenal's hands.

The Gunners have eight games left to play, including a trip to the Etihad to face City on April 26.

If Arsenal were to win at City then Mikel Arteta's team would require just 15 points from their other seven games to make it impossible for their rivals to catch them.

To try to work out where we think the Premier League trophy will end up on May 28, we have predicted the outcome of every game involving Arsenal or City between now and the end of the season.

Check out our predictions below.

The Premier League trophy pictured in 2022 dressed in the colors of Manchester City

Will the ribbons on the Premier League trophy be red or blue at the end of May?

Man City vs Leicester (April 15)

Leicester have lost eight of their last nine games. That slump does not end at the Etihad Stadium.

Prediction: Man City 4-1 Leicester


West Ham vs Arsenal (April 16)

Still hungover from a trip to Belgium in the Europa Conference League less than 72 hours earlier, West Ham are no match for Arsenal.

Prediction: West Ham 0-3 Arsenal


Arsenal vs Southampton (April 21)

The Emirates Stadium is rocking as fans know that a win here will open up a nine-point lead over City. Southampton are overwhelmed.

Prediction: Arsenal 5-0 Southampton


Man City vs Arsenal (April 26)

Buoyed by a big win over Sheffield United in the FA Cup four days earlier, City are firing on all cylinders. Arsenal compete in spells but are ultimately overpowered in a Premier League classic.

Prediction: Man City 4-2 Arsenal

Erling Haaland pictured shooting with an overhead kick during an FA Cup game between Manchester City and Arsenal in 2023

Erling Haaland pictured in action the last time City played Arsenal at home


Fulham vs Man City (April 30)

Fulham are playing with freedom having long ago secured their place in the EPL for another season. The Cottagers go toe-to-toe with City but the better team prevails in an open game. 

Prediction: Fulham 1-3 Man City


Arsenal vs Chelsea (May 2)

Despite their recent loss to City, Arsenal still start this London derby three points clear, but Guardiola's men have a game in hand and a superior goal difference. The home support is starting to lose belief. Chelsea sense blood and pull off a mini shock.

Prediction: Arsenal 1-2 Chelsea


Man City vs West Ham (May 3)

City have won their last six home games against West Ham and they extend that run to go top of the table on goal difference.

Prediction: Man City 2-0 West Ham


Man City vs Leeds (May 7)

The first leg of a Champions League semi-final against Real Madrid looms large so Guardiola leaves Kevin De Bruyne on the bench to keep him fresh. But City are still able to win comfortably without their chief playmaker.

Prediction: Man City 4-0 Leeds


Newcastle vs Arsenal (May 7)

After watching City thrash Leeds earlier in the day, Arsenal's trip to Newcastle becomes even more of a mental test. The Gunners give a solid account of themselves but drop more points.

Prediction: Newcastle 1-1 Arsenal

An action shot from the 0-0 draw between Arsenal and Newcastle in January 2023

Arsenal and Newcastle drew 0-0 at the Emirates Stadium in January and we think another tie could be on the cards in early May


Everton vs Man City (May 14)

Fatigue is a factor for City following a tough test in the Champions League in midweek. They drop points at Goodison Park for the seventh time in their last 14 visits.

Prediction: Everton 1-1 Man City


Arsenal vs Brighton (May 14)

Brighton, looking to secure a European place, cause Arsenal plenty of problems but a dramatic home win keeps the title race in the balance.

Prediction: Arsenal 3-2 Brighton


Man City vs Chelsea (Weekend of May 20/21) 

City beat Chelsea to nil for the sixth time in a row. Haaland scores his seventh hat-trick of the season.

Prediction: Man City 4-0 Chelsea


Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal (Weekend of May 20/21)

Arsenal ensure that the title race will go down to the final day by recording their 13th away win of the EPL season.

Prediction: Nottingham Forest 0-3 Arsenal


Brighton vs Man City (Date TBC, possibly May 24)

Brighton put on a show for their fans in their final home game of the season. A draw against City helps Brighton set a new club-record points tally in the EPL. City now lead Arsenal by one point going into the final day.

Prediction: Brighton 2-2 Man City


Arsenal vs Wolves (May 28)

Wolves have already stayed up and have nothing more than pride to play for. Arsenal put on a superb show for their home supporters to end the season in style. They finish with 89 points - one fewer than the Invincibles got in 2003/04. But the Premier League trophy is elsewhere...

Prediction: Arsenal 5-1 Wolves


Brentford vs Man City (May 28)

City are no strangers to final day drama. Indeed, they flirt briefly with disaster when Ivan Toney equalizes with a penalty in the 59th minute but City eventually take care of business. Erling later becomes the most popular baby name in Manchester in 2024.

Prediction: Brentford 1-3 Man City


Final Standings Based On Predictions

  1. Manchester City, 90 points (+67 GD)
  2. Arsenal, 89 points (+56 GD)
Manchester City's players pictured celebrating with the Premier League trophy at the end of the 2017/18 season - when they won a record-breaking 100 points

We think Manchester City will win their third consecutive EPL title