Fantasy Baseball Pitcher Scouting Report: Collin McHugh

McHugh's curveball has been his best strikeout pitch this season. The offering has a 19.5 percent swinging-strike rate, and opponents have hit a miniscule
Fantasy Baseball Pitcher Scouting Report: Collin McHugh
Fantasy Baseball Pitcher Scouting Report: Collin McHugh /

Collin McHugh has used his curve to anchor the Astros' staff and make himself a fantasy asset.
Collin McHugh has used his curve to anchor the Astros' staff and make himself a fantasy asset :: Chris Carlson/AP

McHugh's curveball has been his best strikeout pitch this season. The offering has a 19.5 percent swinging-strike rate, and opponents have hit a miniscule .025 with a .075 slugging percentage against it. Part of that owes to the ridiculous vertical movement McHugh gets on the pitch. As shown in the following graph courtesy of Brooks Baseball, McHugh's curveball dropped an average of 9.02 inches in April and 8.61 inches in May. The second graph shows the horizontal movement, which was 8.73 inches in April and 7.73 in May. Positive movement on the curveball indicates how much it moved away from righties and in to lefties.

Courtesy: Brooks Baseball
Courtesy: Brooks Baseball

The sharp movement on McHugh's curveball isn't the only reason it has been so good this year. He has also had great command over it this season. The following heat map shows how frequently McHugh has kept the curveball at the bottom, or beneath, the strike zone.

Courtesy: Brooks Baseball

Moreover, when McHugh spots his curveball at or beneath the bottom of the strike zone, hitters have barely been able to lay off. Of the 118 curveballs that McHugh has thrown at or below opposing hitters' knees, they have swung at 53 of them and come up empty on 29 of those swings. The information is reflected in the two graphs below.

Courtesy: Brooks Baseball
Courtesy: Brooks Baseball

McHugh's curveball has helped make him a fixture in the Houston rotation and made him an asset in fantasy leagues. Despite this, he's widely available regardless of where you play your fantasy baseball. McHugh should be owned in nearly all mixed leagues.


Published
Michael Beller
MICHAEL BELLER

Michael Beller is SI.com's fantasy sports editor and a staff writer covering fantasy, college basketball and MLB. He resides in Chicago and has been with SI.com since 2010.