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Fantasy football Week 7 stat projections

Power Rankings: Cowboys rise from worst to first in five short weeks

Last week’s biggest surprises came at the wide receiver position, where T.Y. Hilton, Andre Holmes and Brandon LaFell were the top three scorers in standard leagues. With Mohamed Sanu and Malcom Floyd also in the top 10, it was just further proof that something unexpected is going to happen every single week.

Week 7 Waiver Wire |Fact or Fiction: Is Andre Holmes for real?

Will the receiver position surprise us again this week? Can Joe Flacco and Derek Carr deliver an encore after big games a week ago? Find out in SI.com's stat projections for Week 7.

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New York Jets at New England Patriots

QB: Geno Smith – 191 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 11 rush yards
RB: Chris Ivory – 58 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 17 rec yards
RB: Chris Johnson – 33 rush yards, 2 receptions, 12 rec yards
WR: Eric Decker – 5 receptions, 63 rec yards
WR: Jeremy Kerley – 3 receptions, 40 rec yards
TE: Jace Amaro – 5 receptions, 50 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Jeff Cumberland – 1 reception, 7 rec yards
K: Nick Folk – 2 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Jets – 1 sack, 37 points allowed

QB: Tom Brady313 pass yards, 4 TD
RB: Shane Vereen – 30 rush yards, 6 receptions, 68 rec yards, 1 TD
RB: Brandon Bolden – 52 rush yards, 1 reception, 6 rec yards
RB: James White – 14 rush yards
WR: Julian Edelman – 6 receptions, 72 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Brandon LaFell – 4 receptions, 60 rec yards
WR: Aaron Dobson – 2 receptions, 18 rec yards
TE: Rob Gronkowski – 7 receptions, 90 rec yards, 2 TD
K: Stephen Gostkowski – 4 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Patriots – 2 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 17 points allowed

The Patriots have gotten back on track in the last two weeks, but they still feel like a team in transition because of Stevan Ridley’s season-ending knee injury. It will be interesting to see what they do in their first game without Ridley. Don’t be surprised if they fall back on the short and intermediate passing game as a substitute for a power run game.

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Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens

QB: Matt Ryan – 279 pass yards, 2 TD
RB: Steven Jackson – 44 rush yards
RB: Jacquizz Rodgers – 18 rush yards, 2 receptions, 8 rec yards
RB: Devonta Freeman – 20 rush yards
RB: Antone Smith – 2 receptions, 31 rec yards
WR: Julio Jones – 6 receptions, 100 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Roddy White – 5 receptions, 81 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Devin Hester – 3 receptions, 40 rec yards
TE: Levine Toilolo – 2 receptions, 18 rec yards
K: Matt Bryant – 2 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Falcons – 31 points allowed

QB: Joe Flacco – 295 pass yards, 3 TD
RB: Justin Forsett – 84 rush yards, 1 TD, 4 receptions, 28 rec yards
RB: Bernard Pierce – 45 rush yards
RB: Lorenzo Taliaferro – 22 rush yards
WR: Steve Smith – 7 receptions, 104 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Torrey Smith – 3 receptions, 70 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Owen Daniels – 5 receptions, 73 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Justin Tucker – 4 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Ravens – 3 sacks, 2 FR, 23 points allowed

Ryan was done in by drops last week against the Bears, but it was encouraging to see the Atlanta offensive line do a good job protecting him in its first game without center Joe Hawley. The Falcons would also be wise to get Jones more looks in the red zone and Smith more touches, period. Joe Flacco is coming off one of the best games of his career and now gets a Falcons defense that can’t put any pressure on the quarterback. He could be in line for another big game.

Week 6 Superlatives: Falcons let Ryan down; Flacco embarrasses Bucs

Tennessee Titans at Washington Redskins

QB: Jake Locker – 276 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
RB: Bishop Sankey – 60 rush yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 17 rec yards
WR: Justin Hunter – 3 receptions, 85 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Kendall Wright – 7 receptions, 87 rec yards
WR: Dexter McCluster – 2 receptions, 21 rec yards
WR: Nate Washington – 1 reception, 10 rec yards
TE: Delanie Walker – 4 receptions, 51 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Ryan Succop – 3 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Titans – 2 sacks, 2 INT, 27 points allowed

QB: Kirk Cousins – 285 pass yards, 2 TD, 2 INT
RB: Alfred Morris – 88 rush yards, 1 TD, 1 reception, 8 rec yards
RB: Roy Helu – 24 rush yards, 3 receptions, 20 rec yards
WR: DeSean Jackson – 5 receptions, 107 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Pierre Garcon – 4 receptions, 48 rec yards
WR: Andre Roberts – 2 receptions, 17 rec yards
TE: Jordan Reed – 6 receptions, 80 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Kai Forbath – 3 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Redskins – 2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR, 24 points allowed

If the Titans get Locker back this week, they could have a nice day against a Washington defense that has allowed the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Sankey could also get another shot at having the backfield to himself this week, but he didn’t do much in the same spot a week ago. Jackson seems to have taken over as the No. 1 receiver in Washington, but this team needs more consistency out of Cousins.

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams

QB: Russell Wilson – 224 pass yards, 1 TD, 14 rush yards
RB: Marshawn Lynch – 102 rush yards, 2 TD, 2 receptions, 10 rec yards
WR: Percy Harvin – 4 receptions, 67 rec yards
WR: Doug Baldwin – 5 receptions, 58 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Jermaine Kearse – 2 receptions, 37 rec yards
TE: Luke Willson – 2 receptions, 19 rec yards
K: Steven Hauschka – 3 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Seahawks – 4 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR, 13 points allowed

QB: Austin Davis – 255 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 10 rush yards
RB: Zac Stacy – 38 rush yards
RB: Benny Cunningham – 50 rush yards, 2 receptions, 16 rec yards
RB: Tre Mason – 11 rush yards
WR: Brian Quick – 5 receptions, 72 rec yards
WR: Kenny Britt – 3 receptions, 60 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Tavon Austin – 3 receptions, 22 rec yards
TE: Jared Cook – 4 receptions, 59 rec yards
K: Greg Zuerlein – 1 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Rams – 1 sack, 30 points allowed

Lynch got just 10 carries last week, and the Seahawks suffered their second loss of the season. Correlation doesn’t equal causation, but I fully expect the Seahawks to get Lynch more involved this week. On the other side, Cunningham has now played more snaps this season than Stacy. That doesn’t necessarily mean there has been a changing of the guard, but it’s awfully hard to trust Stacy right now.

FARRAR: Identity crisis? Seahawks look nothing like the defending champs

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

QB: Brian Hoyer – 271 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
RB: Ben Tate – 111 rush yards, 1 TD
RB: Isaiah Crowell – 57 rush yards, 2 receptions, 13 rec yards
WR: Andrew Hawkins – 4 receptions, 71 rec yards
WR: Miles Austin – 3 receptions, 34 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Taylor Gabriel – 4 receptions, 45 rec yards
TE: Jordan Cameron – 6 receptions, 93 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Billy Cundiff – 3 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Browns – 3 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR, 20 points allowed

QB: Blake Bortles – 257 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
RB: Storm Johnson – 50 rush yards, 1 TD
RB: Denard Robinson – 12 rush yards
WR: Cecil Shorts – 6 receptions, 84 rec yards
WR: Allen Robinson – 5 receptions, 65 rec yards
WR: Allen Hurns – 3 receptions, 21 rec yards
WR: Marqise Lee – 2 receptions, 18 rec yards
TE: Clay Harbor – 4 receptions, 61 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Josh Scobee – 2 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Jaguars – 1 sack, 1 INT, 27 points allowed

The Browns have have chance to further boost their playoff odds with this next three-game stretch against the Jaguars, Raiders and Buccaneers. With Cameron back to 100 percent, he is once again among the better tight ends in the league. Johnson scored in his first start a week ago and looks like an RB3 this week. Shorts racked up a ridiculous 16 targets last week. So long as he’s healthy, he’s the No. 1 guy in Jacksonville.

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Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts

QB: Andy Dalton – 305 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
RB: Giovani Bernard – 71 rush yards, 1 TD, 6 receptions, 81 rec yards, 1 TD
RB: Jeremy Hill – 44 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 20 rec yards
WR: Mohamed Sanu – 6 receptions, 105 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Brandon Tate – 4 receptions, 41 rec yards
WR: Dane Sanzenbacher – 3 receptions, 23 rec yards
TE: Jermaine Gresham – 4 receptions, 31 rec yards
K: Mike Nugent – 4 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Bengals – 2 sacks, 1 INT, 28 points allowed

QB: Andrew Luck – 301 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 27 rush yards, 1 TD
RB: Ahmad Bradshaw – 43 rush yards, 4 receptions, 36 rec yards, 1 TD
RB: Trent Richardson – 33 rush yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 11 rec yards
WR: T.Y. Hilton – 5 receptions, 83 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Reggie Wayne – 6 receptions, 95 rec yards
WR: Hakeem Nicks – 3 receptions, 25 rec yards
TE: Dwayne Allen – 4 receptions, 42 rec yards
TE: Coby Fleener – 1 reception, 7 rec yards
K: Adam Vinatieri – 4 PAT
DST: Colts – 1 sack, 1 INT, 1 FR, 31 points allowed

It’s a shame that A.J. Green is likely to miss this game, because this could be an important matchup between AFC contenders. Sanu showed he can fill in as a No. 1 receiver last week, and he’ll have to fill that role for the next couple weeks. However, this sets up to be another big game for Bernard.

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Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills

QB: Teddy Bridgewater – 257 pass yards, 2 TD, 2 INT
RB: Jerick McKinnon – 37 rush yards, 4 receptions, 38 rec yards
RB: Matt Asiata – 15 rush yards
WR: Greg Jennings – 6 receptions, 78 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Jarius Wright – 4 receptions, 58 rec yards
WR: Cordarrelle Patterson – 3 receptions, 37 rec yards
TE: Chase Ford – 2 receptions, 15 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Blair Walsh – 2 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Vikings – 2 sacks, 1 INT, 23 points allowed

QB: Kyle Orton – 270 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
RB: Fred Jackson – 64 rush yards, 1 TD, 4 receptions, 40 rec yards
RB: C.J. Spiller – 27 rush yards, 2 receptions, 12 rec yards
WR: Sammy Watkins – 7 receptions, 103 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Robert Woods – 3 receptions, 50 rec yards
TE: Scott Chandler – 5 receptions, 62 rec yards
K: Dan Carpenter – 2 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Bills – 3 sacks, 2 INT, 2 FR, 17 points allowed

Bridgewater had a terrible game in his second start, a reminder that there will be some growing pains as the talented rookie settles into running the Vikings' offense. A greater role for McKinnon could help ease that transition. On the other side, Jackson is the only Buffalo running back worth starting until further notice.

First Down/Fourth Down: Minnesota offensive line betrays Bridgewater

Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears

QB: Ryan Tannehill – 279 pass yards, 2 TD, 2 INT, 18 rush yards
RB: Lamar Miller – 55 rush yards, 5 receptions, 51 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Mike Wallace – 6 receptions, 84 rec yards
WR: Brian Hartline – 5 receptions, 57 rec yards
WR: Jarvis Landry – 4 receptions, 61 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Charles Clay – 3 receptions, 25 rec yards
K: Caleb Sturgis – 2 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Dolphins – 2 sacks, 1 INT, 34 points allowed

QB: Jay Cutler – 319 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 10 rush yards
RB: Matt Forte – 84 rush yards, 1 TD, 5 receptions, 43 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Brandon Marshall – 7 receptions, 114 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Alshon Jeffery – 5 receptions, 91 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Martellus Bennett – 4 receptions, 49 rec yards
K: Robbie Gould – 4 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Bears – 2 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 17 points allowed

Miller should be an RB1 for the rest of the year with Knowshon Moreno on IR with a torn ACL. This Bears offense is hard to stop when Cutler doesn’t make any mistakes, as was the case last week. The Dolphins really struggled against Aaron Rodgers, and Cutler could very well enjoy similar success in Week 7.

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New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions

QB: Drew Brees – 277 pass yards, 2 TD, 2 INT
RB: Khiry Robinson – 38 rush yards
RB: Pierre Thomas – 17 rush yards, 3 receptions, 31 rec yards
RB: Mark Ingram – 25 rush yards
WR: Marques Colston – 5 receptions, 73 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Brandin Cooks – 8 receptions, 79 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Robert Meachem – 2 receptions, 24 rec yards
TE: Ben Watson – 3 receptions, 27 rec yards
TE: Josh Hill – 3 receptions, 32 rec yards
K: Shayne Graham – 2 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Saints – 3 sacks, 2 INT, 23 points allowed

QB: Matthew Stafford252 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
RB: Joique Bell – 62 rush yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 14 rec yards
RB: Reggie Bush – 37 rush yards, 4 receptions, 45 rec yards
WR: Golden Tate – 6 receptions, 84 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Jeremy Ross – 4 receptions, 55 rec yards
TE: Eric Ebron – 4 receptions, 43 rec yards
K: Matt Prater – 2 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Lions – 3 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 20 points allowed

Fantasy owners would have circled this game as a potential shootout back in August, but that’s looking less and less likely every day. The Saints could be in for a rude awakening without Jimmy Graham against what might be the best defense in the league, and the Lions’ offense has struggled in the last two weeks without Calvin Johnson.

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Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers

QB: Cam Newton – 283 pass yards, 2 TD, 2 INT, 55 rush yards, 1 TD
RB: Jonathan Stewart – 56 rush yards, 2 receptions, 13 rec yards
RB: Darrin Reaves – 22 rush yards
WR: Kelvin Benjamin – 6 receptions, 90 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Jerricho Cotchery – 3 receptions, 37 rec yards
WR: Jason Avant – 3 receptions, 28 rec yards
TE: Greg Olsen – 7 receptions, 82 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Graham Gano – 3 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Panthers – 1 sack, 38 points allowed

QB: Aaron Rodgers – 335 pass yards, 4 TD
RB: Eddie Lacy – 63 rush yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 11 rec yards
RB: James Starks – 32 rush yards
WR: Jordy Nelson – 8 receptions, 120 rec yards, 2 TD
WR: Randall Cobb – 6 receptions, 105 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Davante Adams – 4 receptions, 56 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Andrew Quarless – 3 receptions, 29 rec yards
K: Mason Crosby – 5 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Packers – 2 sacks, 2 INT, 27 points allowed

Rodgers has 10 touchdowns in the last three weeks and faces a Carolina defense that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Newton burned the Bengals with his legs last week and looks to be back among the very best fantasy quarterbacks in the league.

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers

QB: Alex Smith – 248 pass yards, 1 INT, 21 rush yards
RB: Jamaal Charles – 107 rush yards, 2 TD, 3 receptions, 24 rec yards
RB: Knile Davis – 21 rush yards, 1 reception, 8 rec yards
WR: Dwayne Bowe – 5 receptions, 67 rec yards
WR: Donnie Avery – 3 receptions, 42 rec yards
TE: Travis Kelce6 receptions, 80 rec yards
K: Cairo Santos – 2 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Chiefs – 2 sacks, 1 FR, 26 points allowed

QB: Philip Rivers – 285 pass yards, 2 TD
RB: Branden Oliver – 74 rush yards, 4 receptions, 36 rec yards
WR: Keenan Allen6 receptions, 88 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Eddie Royal – 3 receptions, 37 rec yards
WR: Malcom Floyd – 3 receptions, 74 rec yards
TE: Antonio Gates – 5 receptions, 63 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Nick Novak – 2 PAT, 4 FG
DST: Chargers – 3 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR, 20 points allowed

Rivers has been incredibly efficient this year, and that shouldn't change against the Chiefs. It’s hard to explain how Floyd and Royal have outperformed Allen to this point even as the latter leads the Chargers in targets and snaps. Eventually, this is going to even out, at least a little bit. The Chargers have been good against running backs this year, but they’ve yet to see anyone like Charles.

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Arizona Cardinals at Oakland Raiders

QB: Carson Palmer – 274 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
RB: Andre Ellington – 95 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 34 rec yards
WR: Michael Floyd – 5 receptions, 101 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Larry Fitzgerald – 7 receptions, 89 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: John Brown – 3 receptions, 31 rec yards
TE: John Carlson – 2 receptions, 12 rec yards
K: Chandler Catanzaro – 3 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Cardinals – 4 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 17 points allowed

QB: Derek Carr – 263 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
RB: Darren McFadden – 82 rush yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 17 rec yards
RB: Maurice Jones-Drew – 26 rush yards
WR: Andre Holmes – 5 receptions, 87 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: James Jones – 5 receptions, 71 rec yards
WR: Brice Butler – 3 receptions, 54 rec yards
TE: Mychal Rivera – 2 receptions, 11 rec yards
K: Sebastian Janikowski – 2 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Raiders – 1 sack, 1 INT, 27 points allowed

Palmer returned from his shoulder injury last week, and immediately Floyd and Fitzgerald found the end zone. Both are WR2s with Palmer back under center, and Ellington gets a shot in the arm as well. The Raiders had their best performance of the season last week, and Holmes emerged as a true fantasy option.

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New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

QB: Eli Manning – 251 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
RB: Andre Williams – 56 rush yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 9 rec yards
WR: Rueben Randle – 7 receptions, 93 rec yards
WR: Odell Beckham Jr. – 4 receptions, 45 rec yards
WR: Preston Parker – 2 receptions, 18 rec yards
TE: Larry Donnell – 5 receptions, 74 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Josh Brown – 2 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Giants – 1 sack, 1 FR, 31 points allowed

QB: Tony Romo277 pass yards, 2 TD
RB: DeMarco Murray – 120 rush yards, 2 TD, 3 receptions, 26 rec yards
WR: Dez Bryant – 7 receptions, 98 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Terrance Williams – 3 receptions, 62 rec yards
WR: Cole Beasley – 2 receptions, 24 rec yards
TE: Jason Witten – 3 receptions, 43 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Dan Bailey – 4 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Cowboys – 4 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR, 20 points allowed

The Giants took a huge hit when Victor Cruz suffered a torn patellar tendon last week. While Beckham and Donnell may get more targets, the offense as a whole has to be downgraded. Don’t expect the Giants to be the first team this year to hold Murray under 100 yards.

San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos

QB: Colin Kaepernick – 245 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 44 rush yards, 1 TD
RB: Frank Gore – 87 rush yards, 1 TD
RB: Carlos Hyde – 36 rush yards, 2 receptions, 13 rec yards
WR: Michael Crabtree – 5 receptions, 75 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Anquan Boldin – 6 receptions, 89 rec yards
WR: Steve Johnson – 3 receptions, 27 rec yards
WR: Brandon Lloyd – 1 reception, 21 rec yards
TE: Vernon Davis – 2 receptions, 17 rec yards
K: Phil Dawson – 3 PAT, 3 FG
DST: 49ers – 2 sacks, 1 INT, 31 points allowed

QB: Peyton Manning – 312 pass yards, 4 TD, 1 INT
RB: Ronnie Hillman – 31 rush yards, 2 receptions, 11 rec yards
RB: Juwan Thompson – 12 rush yards
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 8 receptions, 117 rec yards, 2 TD
WR: Emmanuel Sanders – 5 receptions, 64 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Wes Welker – 5 receptions, 68 rec yards
TE: Julius Thomas – 4 receptions, 50 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Brandon McManus – 4 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Broncos – 1 sack, 1 INT, 2 FR, 31 points allowed

The 49ers have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game to both quarterbacks and running backs this year. That should scare you away from Hillman, but not from Manning and his receivers. I’d expect to see a lot of running from the 49ers in an effort to shorten the game and keep Manning off the field as much as possible.

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Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers

QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick – 258 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
RB: Arian Foster – 92 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 19 rec yards
WR: Andre Johnson – 6 receptions, 86 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: DeAndre Hopkins – 4 receptions, 71 rec yards
TE: Garrett Graham – 4 receptions, 36 rec yards
K: Randy Bullock – 2 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Texans – 3 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR, 28 points allowed

QB: Ben Roethlisberger – 289 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
RB: Le’Veon Bell – 91 rush yards, 2 TD, 4 receptions, 41 rec yards, 1 TD
RB: LeGarrette Blount – 32 rush yards
WR: Antonio Brown – 8 receptions, 104 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Markus Wheaton – 4 receptions, 60 rec yards
WR: Justin Brown – 3 receptions, 30 rec yards
TE: Heath Miller – 4 receptions, 50 rec yards
K: Shaun Suisham – 4 PAT
DST: Steelers – 3 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 23 points allowed

This is the week Bell finally gets in the end zone. He has more than 100 total yards in every game this year but hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1. The Texans still doesn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence on offense, but Foster and Johnson continue to be consistent fantasy weapons. Foster in particular should be able to take advantage of a Pittsburgh defense that got carved up by Ben Tate and Isaiah Crowell last week.