Fantasy football Week 10 stat projections
Two weeks ago, it would have been ridiculous to predict a six-touchdown game for any quarterback, let alone Ben Roethlisberger. Now it seems ridiculous to predict anything but that for the Steelers’ quarterback. He became the first quarterback in NFL history to throw six touchdowns in back-to-back games and now has 22 scores against just three interceptions on the year. He’s the third-highest scoring quarterback, trailing Andrew Luck and Peyton Manning.
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After reeling off a two-game stretch unseen in the annals of the NFL, Roethlisberger gets a dream matchup in Week 10. The Jets have allowed the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks this year. Roethlisberger may not get to six touchdowns again this week, but chances are his owners will once again be pleased.
What else is in store for fantasy owners in Week 10? Find out in the SI.com stat projections.
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Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals
QB: Brian Hoyer – 260 pass yards, 2 TD, 2 INT
RB: Ben Tate – 28 rush yards
RB: Terrance West – 37 rush yards, 2 receptions, 11 rec yards
RB: Isaiah Crowell – 11 rush yards
WR: Andrew Hawkins – 5 receptions, 67 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Taylor Gabriel – 4 receptions, 62 rec yards
WR: Miles Austin – 3 receptions, 41 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Travis Benjamin – 2 receptions, 39 rec yards
TE: Jim Dray – 2 receptions, 25 rec yards
K: Billy Cundiff – 2 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Browns – 2 sacks, 1 FR, 30 points allowed
QB: Andy Dalton – 305 pass yards, 2 TD
RB: Jeremy Hill – 110 rush yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 14 rec yards
WR: A.J. Green – 6 receptions, 102 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Mohamed Sanu – 5 receptions, 87 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Brandon Tate – 4 receptions, 40 rec yards
TE: Jermaine Gresham – 4 receptions, 45 rec yards
K: Mike Nugent – 3 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Bengals – 3 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 17 points allowed
It sounds like Hill will get another start with Giovani Bernard still rehabbing his hip injury. The Browns have allowed a running back to score double-digit fantasy points in six of their eight games this season. On the other side, Cleveland’s running game has fallen apart without center Alex Mack.
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Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills
QB: Alex Smith – 238 pass yards, 1 TD, 22 rush yards
RB: Jamaal Charles – 72 rush yards, 1 TD, 4 receptions, 43 rec yards
RB: Knile Davis – 10 rush yards
WR: Dwayne Bowe – 5 receptions, 59 rec yards
WR: A.J. Jenkins – 4 receptions, 42 rec yards
TE: Travis Kelce – 5 receptions, 73 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Cairo Santos – 2 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Chiefs – 4 sacks, 2 INT, 13 points allowed
QB: Kyle Orton – 279 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
RB: Bryce Brown – 32 rush yards, 3 receptions, 21 rec yards
RB: Anthony Dixon – 29 rush yards
WR: Sammy Watkins – 7 receptions, 105 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Robert Woods – 5 receptions, 64 rec yards
TE: Scott Chandler – 5 receptions, 58 rec yards
K: Dan Carpenter – 1 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Bills – 3 sacks, 1 FR, 20 points allowed
The Bills have been tough on running backs, while the Chiefs have limited receivers, but these teams’ respective stars, Charles and Watkins, should be able to break through this week. Don’t expect too much from the Buffalo running game until Fred Jackson returns.
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Miami Dolphins at Detroit Lions
QB: Ryan Tannehill – 253 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 12 rush yards
RB: Lamar Miller – 47 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 20 rec yards
WR: Mike Wallace – 5 receptions, 74 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Brian Hartline – 3 receptions, 41 rec yards
WR: Jarvis Landry – 3 receptions, 49 rec yards
TE: Charles Clay – 5 receptions, 55 rec yards
K: Caleb Sturgis – 2 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Dolphins – 3 sacks, 1 INT, 27 points allowed
QB: Matthew Stafford – 289 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
RB: Reggie Bush – 33 rush yards, 4 receptions, 42 rec yards
RB: Joique Bell – 57 rush yards, 2 receptions, 13 rec yards
WR: Calvin Johnson – 6 receptions, 97 rec yards, 2 TD
WR: Golden Tate – 5 receptions, 102 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Eric Ebron – 2 receptions, 21 rec yards
K: Matt Prater – 3 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Lions – 4 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR, 20 points allowed
Tannehill has averaged 22 fantasy points per game in his last five contests, but he has yet to face a defense like Detroit’s. The Lions get Johnson back this week. More importantly, it sounds like they’re getting a fully healthy Johnson back this week. We should know right away what version of Megatron is on the field.
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Dallas Cowboys at Jacksonville Jaguars
QB: Tony Romo – 258 pass yards, 1 TD
RB: DeMarco Murray – 123 rush yards, 2 TD, 2 receptions, 17 rec yards
WR: Dez Bryant – 7 receptions, 110 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Terrance Williams – 4 receptions, 60 rec yards
WR: Cole Beasley – 2 receptions, 17 rec yards
TE: Jason Witten – 4 receptions, 51 rec yards
K: Dan Bailey – 3 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Cowboys – 2 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 14 points allowed
QB: Blake Bortles – 272 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
RB: Denard Robinson – 82 rush yards, 1 TD, 1 reception, 8 rec yards
RB: Toby Gerhart – 21 rush yards, 3 receptions, 17 rec yards
WR: Allen Robinson – 5 receptions, 63 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Allen Hurns – 4 receptions, 70 rec yards
WR: Cecil Shorts – 6 receptions, 81 rec yards
TE: Clay Harbor – 3 receptions, 34 rec yards
K: Josh Scobee – 2 PAT
DST: Jaguars – 2 sacks, 30 points allowed
Thankfully, this game is being played in London, making it an early-afternoon start. It would be a headache for owners of Cowboys players if they had to wait until the second set of games to find out whether or not Romo is playing. You’re starting all your Cowboys no matter if it’s Romo or Weeden under center, though. Denard Robinson has become a must-start running back for fantasy owners.
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San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints
QB: Colin Kaepernick – 242 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 36 rush yards
RB: Frank Gore – 89 rush yards, 1 TD
RB: Carlos Hyde – 33 rush yards, 1 reception, 11 rec yards
WR: Michael Crabtree – 5 receptions, 62 rec yards
WR: Anquan Boldin – 6 receptions, 74 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Steve Johnson – 3 receptions, 38 rec yards
WR: Brandon Lloyd – 2 receptions, 30 rec yards
TE: Vernon Davis – 2 receptions, 24 rec yards
K: Phil Dawson – 2 PAT, 1 FG
DST: 49ers – 1 sack, 1 INT, 27 points allowed
QB: Drew Brees – 312 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
RB: Mark Ingram – 78 rush yards, 1 TD
RB: Travaris Cadet – 17 rush yards, 4 receptions, 47 rec yards
WR: Brandin Cooks – 6 receptions, 77 rec yards
WR: Marques Colston – 5 receptions, 64 rec yards
TE: Jimmy Graham – 8 receptions, 112 rec yards, 2 TD
K: Shayne Graham – 3 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Saints – 2 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 17 points allowed
Despite the projections for Boldin, it’s hard to have a ton of confidence in anyone involved in the San Francisco passing game. The Saints, meanwhile, have gotten back on track in the last few weeks. Now that Jimmy Graham has played himself back to 100 percent, expect him to have a big game Sunday.
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Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens
QB: Zach Mettenberger – 261 pass yards, 2 TD, 2 INT
RB: Bishop Sankey – 62 rush yards, 2 receptions, 14 rec yards
WR: Justin Hunter – 4 receptions, 91 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Kendall Wright – 6 receptions, 82 rec yards
WR: Nate Washington – 3 receptions, 38 rec yards
TE: Delanie Walker – 3 receptions, 34 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Ryan Succop – 2 PAT
DST: Titans – 2 sacks, 1 INT, 23 points allowed
QB: Joe Flacco – 279 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
RB: Justin Forsett – 83 rush yards, 1 TD, 4 receptions, 26 rec yards
RB: Lorenzo Taliaferro – 24 rush yards
WR: Steve Smith – 6 receptions, 107 rec yards
WR: Torrey Smith – 4 receptions, 57 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Owen Daniels – 5 receptions, 63 rec yards
K: Justin Tucker – 2 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Ravens – 4 sacks, 2 INT, 14 points allowed
If there were a game for Mettenberger to get going with Hunter and Wright, this is it. The Ravens have allowed seven different receivers to put up double-digit points against them in the last four weeks. Torrey Smith has been on a high-end WR2 pace over the last five weeks.
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Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets
QB: Ben Roethlisberger – 320 pass yards, 3 TD
RB: Le’Veon Bell – 54 rush yards, 1 TD, 4 receptions, 52 rec yards, 1 TD
RB: LeGarrette Blount – 23 rush yards
WR: Antonio Brown – 7 receptions, 109 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Martavis Bryant – 4 receptions, 59 rec yards
WR: Markus Wheaton – 4 receptions, 63 rec yards
TE: Heath Miller – 3 receptions, 42 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Shaun Suisham – 4 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Steelers – 3 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 16 points allowed
QB: Michael Vick – 242 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 31 rush yards
RB: Chris Ivory – 63 rush yards, 2 receptions, 10 rec yards
RB: Chris Johnson – 39 rush yards, 3 receptions, 17 rec yards
WR: Eric Decker – 6 receptions, 79 rec yards
WR: Percy Harvin – 4 receptions, 83 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Jeremy Kerley – 3 receptions, 31 rec yards
TE: Jace Amaro – 2 receptions, 15 rec yards
K: Nick Folk – 1 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Jets – 1 sack, 34 points allowed
With another excellent matchup for Roethlisberger, fantasy owners will want to start Bryant and potentially Wheaton, too. Miller is also a good spot play with five good tight ends on bye this week. Harvin has 22 targets in two games with the Jets. He had 26 in his five games with Seattle this year.
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Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
QB: Matt Ryan – 294 pass yards, 2 TD
RB: Steven Jackson – 47 rush yards
RB: Jacquizz Rodgers – 15 rush yards, 2 receptions, 11 rec yards
RB: Devonta Freeman – 24 rush yards
WR: Julio Jones – 7 receptions, 115 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Roddy White – 5 receptions, 84 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Harry Douglas – 4 receptions, 56 rec yards
WR: Devin Hester – 2 receptions, 21 rec yards
TE: Levine Toilolo – 1 reception, 6 rec yards
K: Matt Bryant – 2 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Falcons – 1 INT, 24 points allowed
QB: Josh McCown – 265 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
RB: Bobby Rainey – 75 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 21 rec yards
RB: Charles Sims – 47 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 40 rec yards
WR: Vincent Jackson – 5 receptions, 74 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Mike Evans – 6 receptions, 95 rec yards
TE: Austin Seferian-Jenkins – 3 receptions, 30 rec yards
K: Patrick Murray – 3 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Buccaneers – 2 sacks, 1 FR, 23 points allowed
The Falcons scored 56 points the last time they played the Buccaneers, but little has gone right for them since then. That could make this the perfect week to get Atlanta back on schedule. Sims is expected to make his NFL debut this week, but it’s hard to know what sort of role he’ll be in. The projection above is speculative and based on the tea leaves in Tampa.
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Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders
QB: Peyton Manning – 330 pass yards, 4 TD
RB: Ronnie Hillman – 84 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 27 rec yards
RB: Juwan Thompson – 32 rush yards
WR: Demaryius Thomas – 8 receptions, 118 rec yards, 2 TD
WR: Emmanuel Sanders – 6 receptions, 104 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Wes Welker – 4 receptions, 37 rec yards
TE: Julius Thomas – 3 receptions, 34 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Brandon McManus – 5 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Broncos – 4 sacks, 2 INT, 1 FR, 10 points allowed
QB: Derek Carr – 251 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
RB: Darren McFadden – 33 rush yards, 3 receptions, 28 rec yards
WR: Andre Holmes – 5 receptions, 72 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: James Jones – 5 receptions, 60 rec yards
WR: Denarius Moore – 3 receptions, 31 rec yards
TE: Mychal Rivera – 4 receptions, 49 rec yards
K: Sebastian Janikowski – 1 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Raiders – 1 sack, 38 points allowed
Let’s see, Manning and the Denver offense, coming off potentially their worst game of the year, going up against a completely overmatched Raiders team? Yeah, you don’t want to be playing against owners of any Broncos this week. Rivera is a sneaky spot start for owners without their regular tight ends. He has 15 catches on 20 targets for 121 yards and two touchdowns in his last two games.
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St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals
QB: Austin Davis – 193 pass yards, 2 INT
RB: Tre Mason – 52 rush yards
RB: Benny Cunningham – 17 rush yards, 3 receptions, 19 rec yards
WR: Kenny Britt – 4 receptions, 58 rec yards
WR: Tavon Austin – 2 receptions, 17 rec yards
WR: Stedman Bailey – 3 receptions, 35 rec yards
TE: Jared Cook – 4 receptions, 60 rec yards
K: Greg Zuerlein – 2 FG
DST: Rams – 3 sacks, 27 points allowed
QB: Carson Palmer – 305 pass yards, 2 TD
RB: Andre Ellington – 85 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 20 rec yards
WR: Larry Fitzgerald – 7 receptions, 92 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Michael Floyd – 5 receptions, 114 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: John Brown – 4 receptions, 53 rec yards
TE: John Carlson – 3 receptions, 22 rec yards
K: Chandler Catanzaro – 3 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Cardinals – 4 sacks, 2 INT, 2 FR, 6 points allowed
This one could get out of hand in a hurry, as the short-handed Rams visit the team with the best record in the NFL. Get all your Cardinals active on Sunday.
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New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks
QB: Eli Manning – 274 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
RB: Rashad Jennings – 54 rush yards, 2 receptions, 14 rec yards
RB: Andre Williams – 26 rush yards
WR: Rueben Randle – 6 receptions, 81 rec yards
WR: Odell Beckham Jr. – 5 receptions, 84 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Larry Donnell – 6 receptions, 78 rec yards, 1 TD
K: Josh Brown – 2 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Giants – 1 sack, 1 FR, 23 points allowed
QB: Russell Wilson – 230 pass yards, 48 rush yards, 1 rush TD
RB: Marshawn Lynch – 103 rush yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 12 rec yards
WR: Doug Baldwin – 5 receptions, 67 rec yards
WR: Jermaine Kearse – 4 receptions, 51 rec yards
WR: Paul Richardson – 5 receptions, 59 rec yards
TE: Luke Willson – 2 receptions, 13 rec yards
TE: Cooper Helfert – 2 receptions, 14 rec yards
K: Steven Hauschka – 2 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Seahawks – 4 sacks, 1 INT, 2 FR, 20 points allowed
Even though the Seahawks are big favorites in this game, it’s hard to get excited about anyone in this offense outside of Lynch. Randle has just 5.36 yards per target this season and seems to be losing his No. 1 status to Beckham.
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Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
QB: Jay Cutler – 314 pass yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
RB: Matt Forte – 113 rush yards, 1 TD, 5 receptions, 51 rec yards
WR: Brandon Marshall – 6 receptions, 104 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Alshon Jeffery – 5 receptions, 93 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Martellus Bennett – 4 receptions, 53 rec yards
K: Robbie Gould – 3 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Bears – 2 sacks, 37 points allowed
QB: Aaron Rodgers – 337 pass yards, 3 TD
RB: Eddie Lacy – 86 rush yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 28 rec yards
RB: James Starks – 40 rush yards
WR: Jordy Nelson – 7 receptions, 124 rec yards, 2 TD
WR: Randall Cobb – 6 receptions, 105 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Davante Adams – 4 receptions, 52 rec yards, 1 TD
TE: Andrew Quarless – 3 receptions, 23 rec yards
K: Mason Crosby – 4 PAT, 3 FG
DST: Packers – 3 sacks, 1 INT, 30 points allowed
Sunday night at Lambeau Field sets up horribly for the Bears, but this is still a high-powered offense playing against, at best, a mediocre defense. Expect plenty of fireworks in this one, with Rodgers, as he always does, getting the better of Cutler and the Bears.
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Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles
QB: Cam Newton – 254 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 36 rush yards
RB: Jonathan Stewart – 52 rush yards, 1 TD
RB: DeAngelo Williams – 34 rush yards, 3 receptions, 32 rec yards
WR: Kelvin Benjamin – 5 receptions, 83 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Jerricho Cotchery – 2 receptions, 13 rec yards
WR: Jason Avant – 2 receptions, 18 rec yards
TE: Greg Olsen – 6 receptions, 93 rec yards
K: Graham Gano – 2 PAT, 2 FG
DST: Panthers – 3 sacks, 1 INT, 24 points allowed
QB: Mark Sanchez – 279 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
RB: LeSean McCoy – 120 rush yards, 2 TD, 2 receptions, 11 rec yards
RB: Darren Sproles – 27 rush yards, 3 receptions, 34 rec yards
WR: Jeremy Maclin – 8 receptions, 113 rec yards, 1 TD
WR: Riley Cooper – 2 receptions, 31 rec yards
WR: Jordan Matthews – 3 receptions, 34 rec yards
TE: Zach Ertz – 4 receptions, 50 rec yards
K: Cody Parkey – 3 PAT, 1 FG
DST: Eagles – 2 sacks, 1 INT, 2 FR, 20 points allowed
It will be very interesting to see how Sanchez performs in his first start with the Eagles. The good news is he should have left guard Evan Mathis back, though Todd Herremans could be placed on IR. The LeSean McCoy breakout game we’ve all been expecting could very well come against a Carolina defense that has allowed the third-most points per game to running backs.
