NFL DFS Week 13: Can’t Go Wrong With a Dolphins Stack

Miami’s offensive stars should thrive against the Commanders’ generous defense.
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It’s time to set those Week 13 DFS lineups!

The highest game totals of the week are the Dolphins-Commanders, Niners-Eagles and Broncos-Texans games. We will target players from all those contests in today’s list. The players presented today are expected to return value regardless of salary. Some you will have to spend up for them, but they aren’t on this list unless they are expected to be worth the spend. Look for Friday’s bargains article, which will feature strictly lower-priced players who you can plug in to stay under the salary cap.

Let’s have a look.

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Quarterbacks

Tua Tagavailoa, Dolphins

Tua put up a stinker last week but faced a tough Jets defense. This week should be pretty different vs. a Commanders secondary that has allowed the most DFS points to opposing passers this season. Expect Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle to benefit in this game, which has the highest total of the week at SI Sportsbook.

C.J. Stroud, Texans

Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud looks to throw a pass during a game.
Troy Taormina/USA TODAY Sports

Stroud is not just in the Rookie of the Year conversion; he’s in the MVP conversation as well. Stroud finished as the QB4 last week and I expect him to play well again this week at home vs. Denver. Denver’s defense has been much better of late, but for the season, it has allowed the 11th-most DFS points to opposing quarterbacks. This game has the third-highest total of the week at SI Sportsbook, and I don’t see it all coming from Denver.

Brock Purdy, 49ers

This Niners-Eagles matchup is bound to be the game of the week. SI Sportsbook has the total as the second-highest of the slate. The offenses are closely matched with each team scoring exactly 28.2 points per game this season; however, the Eagles have a much more generous defense -- allowing 22.2 points per game to opponents and the most DFS points to opposing quarterbacks across their last three contests.

Running Backs

Alvin Kamara, Saints

The receiving room is pretty beat up in New Orleans with Michael Thomas on IR and Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave suffering injuries last Sunday that could limit them this weekend. This is the perfect spot for Kamara to flash his receiving skills. The Lions have allowed the second-most yards per target to opposing runners this season (6.82), and no running back has been targeted more this season than Kamara, who is averaging 7.6 targets per game.

Najee Harris/Jaylen Warren, Steelers

It’s hard to say who will go off in this matchup -- it could be both runners vs. this Arizona defense that has allowed the second-most DFS points to opposing runners this year. Warren is the more explosive runner, and he’s got a lower salary, but Harris averaged 6.6 yards per carry last week on 15 attempts, putting up big numbers for those who invested.

Raheem Mostert, Dolphins

De’Von Achane could be back, which might limit Mostert a bit, but there should be enough to go around vs. the Commanders. Mostert’s 13 rushing touchdowns are the most in the NFL so far this season and he’s averaging an impressive 5.2 yards per carry.

Wide Receivers

Tyreek Hill, Dolphins

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill
Jim Rassol/USA TODAY Sports

Are you noticing a theme here? Start Dolphins! Yes, they will be chalk, but they are good chalk. Hill leads the NFL in receiving yards and touchdowns, and he’s facing the team that has allowed the most yards per target and the most receiving touchdowns to wideouts this year.

Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers

No team has allowed more DFS points to opposing wideouts this year than the Eagles. This game could be a shootout, and Aiyuk, who has the seventh-most receiving yards per game this season, should be front and center.

Adam Thielen, Panthers

There’s a new regime in Carolina, and we’ll be looking for a spark on Sunday. We know Thielen is Bryce Young’s favorite target, and he should have no trouble connecting with the veteran vs. a Tampa Bay secondary that has allowed the fourth-most DFS points to opposing wide receivers this season.

Terry McLaurin, Commanders

If we’re using a lot of Dolphins, we should also send some points back the other way in hopes this game total stays high. No team has more passing attempts than the Commanders, and McLaurin is the top target in this offense.

Tight Ends

Taysom Hill, Saints

The Saints offense is suffering from a lot of injuries, and it’s the exact spot where they will get creative with Hill. I don’t know whether he will score points as a passer, receiver or runner, but it doesn’t matter. The matchup vs. Detroit offers plenty of opportunities for Hill to put up solid numbers.

Dalton Schultz, Texans

No team has allowed more DFS points to the position than the Broncos. For the season, Schultz is the TE7, and he has finished in the top nine in six of his last eight. Look for Stroud to send the ball his way. 

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Week 13 Fantasy Rankings


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Jennifer Piacenti
JENNIFER PIACENTI

Jennifer Piacenti is a fantasy sports and betting analyst for Sports Illustrated. She serves as a host for Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio and has her own podcast, “Waiver Wired,” on the Extra Points podcast network. Piacenti is also a featured expert on MLB Network’s “Bettor’s Eye” and is a member of the esteemed Tout Wars, the fantasy baseball battle of the experts. She is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association and is a 2020 Scott Fish Bowl finalist.