LIV Golf Adelaide Power Rankings: Jon Rahm is Due for a Breakthrough

Rahm was LIV's biggest signing of the offseason, but he's still looking for his first win this year. He leads the list of top contenders.

Round 3: Jon Rahm plays a shot from a bunker on the second hole. / Michael Madrid / USA TODAY NETWORK

Welcome to Power Rankings, a weekly feature on SI Golf from our partners at KeyCompete. This week the PGA Tour drops into New Orleans for the Zurich Classic, and LIV Golf heads to Australia. Here’s how our model sees this week’s LIV event shaping up:

LIV Golf Adelaide Preview

LIV returns this week to Australia and the Grange Golf Club, which is known for its challenging layout and pristine conditions—and its party scene, as it was the site of last year’s sell-out crowds and the par-3 12th “watering hole,” which was boisterous all week long (especially when Chase Koepka made an ace). 

The course is celebrated for hosting several big-name tournaments, including the Australian PGA Championship and the Women's Australian Open. Here are the players our model likes this week:

KeyCompete’s 2024 LIV Golf Adelaide Power Rankings

1) Jon Rahm (+600) - The favorite in the books and in our rankings. Has a couple of high finishes on LIV but no wins yet. This could be the week.

2) Bryson DeChambeau (+1000) - DeChambeau, always a unique player, is a good fit here. Hung around at Augusta before tying for 6th, but could ride good form into this event.

3) Cameron Smith (+1000) - Home game for the native Australian, and his exceptional short game could play well on these smaller greens. T6 at the Masters.

4) Joaquin Niemann (+1000) - Aggressive style could serve him well, particularly over the finishing holes. T22 at Augusta.

5) Tyrrell Hatton (+1200) - Known for fiery temperament and sharp iron play, he might be a good fit here. Quietly T9 at the Masters.

6) Talor Gooch (+1400) - Was LIV’s top player in 2023 but may need to dial down the power to hit narrow fairways here.

7) Dean Burmester (+2700) - South African's powerful driving and solid putting will be assets. Consistency throughout round will be critical.

8) Patrick Reed (+2200) - Notorious resilience and short game mastery, he could be a dark horse, especially if he’s within striking distance heading into the final round.

9) Brooks Koepka (+2200) - His course management could fare well here. Looked a little lost at Augusta during a T45.

10) Dustin Johnson (+2200) - The combo of power and finesse can’t be overlooked. MC at the Masters.

LIV Miami Recap

Dean Burmester was LIV’s most recent winner, as he proved himself to be a rising star during the week at Trump National Doral.

Last year KeyCompete handicapped the Masters and brought our yearly record to 69-50 on matchup bets.