2022 John Deere Classic: Latest Betting Odds, Favorites and Sleeper Picks for TPC Deere Run

The fan-favorite John Deere Classic offers plenty of value as many of the game's stars are taking time off or playing elsewhere.

When we try to slow things down, the goal is to become more present. For Xander Schauffele, he needed to ramp things up to secure his sixth victory on the PGA Tour.

After the win, Schauffele lamented the fact he slowed things down too much when searching for his next solo triumph on Tour, literally. His pace of play declined considerably over the past season. He arrived in Connecticut with a new sense of urgency and was able to capitalize on Sahith Theegala’s stumble on the 18th hole to continue his ascent among the game’s elite.

As for the picks, favorite Joaquin Niemann did not jell well with the course and missed the cut, while both Joel Dahmen and Seamus Power could not keep up with the birdiefest on the weekend.

We now head to another community favorite stop, the John Deere Classic in Silvis, Illinois, aka the “Midwest Masters.” Similar to recent years, this week suffers from a premier run of events prior and is now also hampered slightly by the LIV series debuting in the U.S. The tournament began as the “Quad Cities Open” and celebrated its 50th anniversary last summer. Going low will once again be imperative and with another lackluster field, we may have another new winner on our hands.

According to SI Sportsbook, the favorite is Webb Simpson at +1100 looking for his first win of the year. Right behind is Canadian Adam Hadwin at +1600. Following him is Theegala at +2200 after last week’s heartbreak. To close out the notables is upstart Denny McCarthy at +2500.

Because of the subdued field, we’re going well outside those mentioned above and taking Nick Hardy at +3500 for our favorite. Hardy has faced some tough results this season, including missing seven cuts, but he is currently on a heater. At the end of May, he lost in a playoff on the Korn Ferry Tour and has not posted worse than T35 on the PGA Tour since, including a T8 last week at the Travelers Championship. Over his last eight rounds, Hardy ranks first in strokes gained: total, in the top-10 off-the-tee and ball striking and 16th in tee-to-green. We’re going to ride his upward trajectory to another high finish amongst those he’s capable of beating.

For a midrange pick, Chez Reavie at +5000 also offers solid value. Reavie has only missed one cut in his last five starts and also finished T8 at the Travelers. At the John Deere Classic, he’s missed the cut just twice in nine starts. Reavie is a short-course specialist and with TPC Deere Run’s par-71 layout measuring just shy of 7,300 yards with open fairways, he’ll be able to exploit his talents. Reavie ranks third on Tour in driving accuracy, so all he will need to do is find the greens in regulation and he should be right there on the weekend.

For a sleeper, we’re going with a name not too many people are familiar with, but should be soon, in Chris Gotterup at +8000. A New Jersey native, Gotterup made a name for himself in the college ranks at Rutgers University and then during his final year at Oklahoma. This past spring he was honored with the 2022 Haskins and Nicklaus awards as the country's top college player. He made his first PGA Tour start at the Puerto Rico Open and took advantage of the light competition there as well and finished T7. With made cuts at the U.S. Open and Travelers Championship, Gotterup’s confidence is building and he is poised to become the next great young gun on Tour.

2021-22 picks scoreboard:

Events: 32
Winners: 4
Top 5s: 9
Top 10s: 5
Top 20s: 3

Here are some notable odds, according to SI Sportsbook:

Webb Simpson +1100
Adam Hadwin +1600
Sahith Theegala +2200
Denny McCarthy +2500
Charles Howell III +2800
Jason Day +2800
Maverick McNealy +3000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +3000
Brendon Todd +3300
Patrick Rodgers +3300
Scott Stallings +3300
Adam Long +3500
Nick Hardy +3500
Cameron Champ +4000
Cam Davis +4000
Lucas Glover +4000
Adam Schenk +5000
Adam Svensson +5000
C.T. Pan +5000
Chez Reavie +5000
J.T. Poston +5000
Kevin Streelman +5000
Lanto Griffin +5000
Anirban Lahiri +5500
Doug Ghim +5500
Steve Stricker +5500
Alex Smalley +6000
Dylan Fritelli +6000
John Huh +6000
Martin Laird +6000
David Lipsky +6600
Emiliano Grillo +6600
Patton Kizzire +6600
Nick Taylor +7000
Taylor Pendrith +7000
Chris Gotterup +8000
Hank Lebioda +8000
Mark Hubbard +8000
Tyler Duncan +8000
Zach Johnson +8500
Andrew Putnam +9000