Josh Allen Jumps Lamar Jackson in NFL MVP Odds as Favorite, Jared Goff's Odds Surge

Iain MacMillan | Nov 18, 2024

Dec 8, 2019; Orchard Park, NY, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) meets Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) at mid-field after a game at New Era Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images / Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

Just when you thought Lamar Jackson was on the verge of locking up his second-straight NFL MVP award, things shifted in a big way in Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season.

Josh Allen, after a strong performance in a win against the Kansas City Chiefs, has taken over as the betting favorite to win the award for the first time in his career. Let's take a look at the latest odds.

NFL MVP Odds

Josh Allen +125
Lamar Jackson +200
Jared Goff +800
Patrick Mahomes +1200
Jalen Hurts +1700
Justin Herbert +2500
Kyler Murray +3400
Jayden Daniels +4000
Joe Burrow +4500
C.J. Stroud +5000

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Allen has taken over as the +125 favorite and now has a 44.44% implied probability to win NFL MVP for the first time in his career. It was a dream result for Allen on Sunday as he not only took over the game in an impressive win against the Chiefs, but Jackson struggled in a loss to the Steelers.

Now, the Ravens have fallen to 7-4 and if history is any indication, it's tough for a player on a team that doesn't win their division to be named MVP. Everything is going in Allen's favor now. Not only has he been the best quarterback in the NFL this season, but he's leading the Bills to another AFC East title and still has a chance of capturing the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

Jackson still has a very real chance of winning the award and as we know, the most important weeks in the MVP discussion are the final five. If Lamar can have dominant performances against the Eagles, Texans, and the rematch against the Steelers, he could overtake Allen in the MVP race.

This will be a fascinating competition in the final stretch of the 2024 campaign.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Published Nov 18, 2024

IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.