Cincinnati Reds' Run Differential Paints Positive Picture, Despite Struggles This Season

The Reds should have a very different win-loss record this season.
Jun 23, 2024; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Reds outfielder Spencer Steer (7) scores on a RBI double hit by catcher Tyler Stephenson (not pictured) in the sixth inning against the Boston Red Sox at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 23, 2024; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Reds outfielder Spencer Steer (7) scores on a RBI double hit by catcher Tyler Stephenson (not pictured) in the sixth inning against the Boston Red Sox at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports / Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
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The most annoying stat in the world loves the Cincinnati Reds. When it comes to wins and losses, there is a statistic that says what a team’s record should be.

Baseball Reference calls it Pythagorean Win-Loss. It is what a team’s record should be based on it’s run differential. According to the Reds' run differential they should have a winning record of 40-37 going into Monday night's series against the Pirates.

The only other team in the NL Central with a positive run differential is the first place Milwaukee Brewers. As annoying as the season has seemed, at times, the overall picture still shows a team that is better than their current record.

The Reds' pitching is the biggest thing keeping them afloat with a positive run differential. They score runs at a below average rate right now, but they are top-10 in average runs against per game. If the lineup can improve, then this team still has a chance to make a run this season.

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Jeff Carr

JEFF CARR

Jeff has hosted the only daily podcast covering the Cincinnati Reds since 2018. He’s been a life long fan of the Reds. He was at Clinchmas and the 2015 Home Run Derby. He is also the channel manager that supports all MLB podcasts on the Locked On Podcast Network. Jeff has extensive media experience as he covered college basketball and volleyball for Tennessee State and college softball for Mercer University.