NBA Draft: A Statistical Insight into Dylan Harper's Tremendous Start

Dylan Harper is having an impressive freshman season. Let's dive into how impactful he's been from a statistical standpoint so far.
Nov 27, 2024; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights guard Dylan Harper (2) shoots between Alabama Crimson Tide forward Grant Nelson (4) and Alabama Crimson Tide forward Jarin Stevenson (15) during the first half at MGM Grand Garden Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images
Nov 27, 2024; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights guard Dylan Harper (2) shoots between Alabama Crimson Tide forward Grant Nelson (4) and Alabama Crimson Tide forward Jarin Stevenson (15) during the first half at MGM Grand Garden Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images / Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images

Dylan Harper is off to a tremendous freshman season. The 6-foot-6, 215 pound primary ball-handler was playing well in his first five games as a Rutgers Scarlet Knight, but he's looked even better in his last two. These last two games have happened to be against tough opponents as well -- Notre Dame and Alabama in the Player's Era Festival.

Rutgers faced Notre Dame in their first test against a high-major team this past Tuesday. Harper did not disappoint, scoring 36 points to go along with six assists, one turnover, and six rebounds. The 6-foot-6 point guard went 10-16 from two (62.5%), two-for-six from three (33.3%), and 10-for-14 from the free throw line (71.4%).

Rutgers faced Alabama the next day, where Harper dropped 37 points to go along with two rebounds, two assists, four turnovers, and two steals. He went 11-16 (68.8%) from two, zero-for-three from beyond the arc, and 15-for-16 from the free throw line (93.8%).

Through seven total games, Harper is averaging 24.6 points, 4.7 rebounds, 4.9 assists, 2.3 turnovers, one steal, and 0.3 blocks per game. He's converted 79% of his 58 total rim attempts, 29% of his non-rim twos (24 attempts), 28% of his 29 three point attempts, and 78% of his free throws (54 attempts). While his midrange and three-point shooting could improve, his efficiency at the rim has been impressive so far.

Additionally, Harper's creation for both himself and others has been on display this season, as he's been unassisted on 78.7% of his made field goals this season while assisting on an estimated 34.1% of his teammate's made field goals when he's on the floor.

Harper is also on track to hit my Productive Young Athlete query, a study that indicates that 78% of freshmen who hit three specific criteria play five-plus years in the NBA or are currently in the NBA. He's sixth out of all qualifying freshmen in Box Plus-Minus, an all-encompassing metric of a player's impact. Overall, Dylan Harper will likely be a top-five pick if he continues his level of play.

Read More: The Productive Young Athlete Query


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Published
Jordan Monaco
JORDAN MONACO

Jordan is a senior at Cornell University where he is an analytics consultant for the men’s basketball team and Co-President of the Cornell ILR Sports Business Society. He has also interned for Sports Aptitude, where he helped interview former front office members and current professional basketball players with the goal of improving the pre-draft process.