Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors: Final Score Predictions For Tonight's Game

Atlanta will be facing a Warriors team that is missing Stephen Curry tonight, will they be able to get a win?

Mar 18, 2025; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Atlanta Hawks guard Trae Young (11) brings the ball up court against the Charlotte Hornets during second quarter at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images / Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images

After getting a win earlier this week against the Charlotte Hornets, the Atlanta Hawks look to continue winning games and they welcome a Golden State Warriors team who has won nine of their last ten games to State Farm Arena tonight, but the Warriors will be without Stephen Curry. Golden State handled the matchup with ease the last time these two teams played, but Atlanta has not seen the new look Warriors since their big move for Jimmy Butler.

Our own Rohan Raman gave an in-depth preview of the matchup tonight:

"Coming into tonight's game, the Hawks are 5th in the NBA in PPG, 15th in FG%, 15th in 3PA, 21st in 3P%, 2nd in FTA, 25th in turnovers, and 13th in rebounding. Per Cleaning the Glass, Atlanta is 18th in points per 100 possessions, 18th in effective field goal percentage, 21st in turnover percentage, 13th in offensive rebounding percentage, and 8th in free throw rate.

Currently, the Hawks rank 27th in PPG allowed, 28th in field goal percentage allowed, 15th in three-point attempts allowed, and 27th in three-point percentage allowed. Per Cleaning the Glass, Atlanta is 17th in points allowed per 100 possessions and 28th in effective field goal percentage allowed.

The numbers for the Warriors offense aren't completely representative of the team they have been since the trade deadline. Still, they are 18th in the NBA in PPG, 26th in FG%, 3rd in 3PA, 14th in 3P% and 17th in FTA, 15th in turnovers, and 4th in rebounding. Per Cleaning the Glass, Golden State is 17th in points per 100 possessions, 21st in effective field goal percentage, 17th in turnover percentage, 7th in offensive rebounding percentage, and 22nd in free throw rate.

The Warriors' defense is arguably a top-10 unit in basketball. They rank 8th in PPG allowed, 11th in field goal percentage allowed, 9th in three-point attempts allowed, and 13th in three-point percentage allowed. Per Cleaning the Glass, the Warriors are 7th in points allowed per 100 possessions and 12th in effective field goal percentage allowed.

Without Steph Curry, there are going to be a lot of ball-handling opportunities for Brandin Podziemski against Atlanta. Podziemski has been vital to the Warriors having a 7-3 record in the games without Curry this season because he's done a great job of stepping up to take on more of an offensive role. Per Databallr, he averages 15.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists on 53 TS% and 34.4% from deep in the 845 minutes he plays without Steph. He's a strong rebounder, solid passer and efficient scorer. Atlanta will need to slow him down as the likely second scoring option tonight. Although Podziemski struggled in his last matchup against the Hawks, expect him to eclipse 3 points on 1-6 shooting this time around.

Obviously, the main scoring threat for the Hawks to stop is Jimmy Butler. Butler has been excellent for the Warriors since being acquired at the trade deadline from the Heat. They are 16-2 with him in the lineup and Butler has averaged 17.2 points, 6.4 assists and 6.2 rebounds on 43.5/24.3/86.1 shooting splits as a Warrior. The effiency hasn't necessarily been there, but he's been great at carrying the non-Steph minutes and playing great defense. He's also been an effective playmaker and improved the Warriors' ability to slow the game down by drawing free throws. Their last game against the Raptors is an excellent depiction of what he brings as an all-around player - he had 16 points, 11 rebounds, 12 assists, two steals, and two blocks. Because Mo Gueye is prone to fouling and Risacher is too inexperienced, Dyson Daniels should be Butler's primary defender tonight. His combination of length, experience and quickness, as well as his ability to force turnovers, will be enormously helpful against a ball-handler like Butler.

Rookie center Quinten Post has been integral to the Warriors' turn-around and the responsibility falls on Onyeka Okongwu to slow him down. Okongwu had good performances against a similar type of player in Myles Turner, so there's reason to believe he can do well in this matchup. Post has been lights-out from deep this season - he's converting on 43.1% of his 4.3 attempts per game. He's a good catch-and-shoot option and has some ability as a ball-handler. However, one drawback of his game is his defense. He isn't a great rim protector and doesn't have the athletic tools to be a standout defender. That's an advantage that Okongwu might be able to press.

Moses Moody and Jonathan Kuminga are also very underrated parts of the Warriors' lineup. Moody is shooting a career-best 38.4% from deep while Kuminga is excellent at drawing fouls through his athletic tools as a scorer. Kuminga is averaging a career-best 16.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists. The complementary pieces for Atlanta will have their work cut out for them - LeVert and Niang will likely both need to be effective scorers in order to keep up with the Warriors' depth.

For the Hawks' offense, everything is going to come down to how well Trae Young can perform in this matchup. He usually plays well against the Warriors, but struggled a lot during his last matchup with them. Young had 12 points and 11 assists on 4-12 shooting. Fortunately, he won't have to match Curry's relentless barrage of three-pointers. He's coming off a 31-point outing versus the Hornets, so he has some momentum before tonight's game.

From a big-picture perspective, the Warriors struggle against big lineups and the Hawks don't really have that advantage. If Mo Gueye is getting shots to fall, this is a matchup where he could be especially useful. The Hawks will also have to compete for rebounds in this one and prevent second-chance points because Golden State is one of the best rebounding teams in basketball."

Odds

According to Fanduel Sportsbook, the Warriors are 2.5 point favorites against the Hawks tonight and the total is set at 232.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Prediction

How much of a difference will Curry's absence make? While Golden State still has guys like Butler and Green, but Curry is the guy that makes their offense flow and the Hawks are more than capable of beating Golden State with him off the floor. I think Golden State's offense will have a tough time generating easy looks without Curry, the Hawks get big games from Dyson Daniels and Onyeka Okongwu, and Atlanta gets win No. 34 of the season.

Final Score: Atlanta 117, Golden State 113

Additional Links

Hawks vs Warriors: Game Preview, Injury Report, Betting Odds, Projected Starting Lineups For Tonight's Game

Why the Atlanta Hawks Will Be The Toughest Play-In Matchup For Either the Cavaliers or The Celtics

Which Teams Should Atlanta Hawks Fans Be Rooting For Today (3/20)?